No. 15 Florida Gulf Coast pulled off the biggest upset of the Round of 64 on Friday, and next they'll take on No. 7 San Diego State on Sunday as March Madness betting underdogs once again.
Florida Gulf Coast bounced No. 2 Georgetown 78-68 at the Wells Fargo Center in the Round of 64 on Friday despite the fact that they were listed as 14-point underdogs on the NCAA Tournament odds. San Diego State is coming off a 70-55 win over No. 10 Oklahoma as a 3-point favorite.
This season, the Aztecs are 23-10 overall and 14-13-1 ATS ATS, while the Eagles are 25-10 and 5-0 ATS against the number. As for the totals, San Diego State boasts a 13-12-2 on the OU, and Florida Gulf Coast is 3-2.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Aztecs - Eagles odds would favor the Aztecs if the lines were set according to our power ranks. San Diego State is rated No. 13 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Florida Gulf Coast is at No. 64. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 76-74 win for the Aztecs.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and San Diego State has the nation's No. 123-rated offensive output, at 69.2 PPG. The visiting Eagles defense ranks No. 180 allowing on average 66.7 PPG. The Aztecs FG% has averaged 43.8% so far, less than the Eagles marksmen have achieved on the year, 45.9% per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Florida Gulf Coast owns the country's No. 303-rated mark, allowing 75.4 points per game on the highway. San Diego State, on the other hand, rates No. 126 in scoring at home.
Last time out for Florida Gulf Coast, they were a 78-68 winner as they battled Georgetown on the road. They covered in the match as a 13-point underdog. The Eagles grabbed a 78-68 win over the Hoyas on Friday, behind a 24-point effort from Sherwood Brown at Wells Fargo Center.
Last time out for San Diego State, they were a 70-55 winner as they battled Oklahoma at home. They covered in the match as a 2.5-point favorite. San Diego State earned a 70-55 victory over Oklahoma on Friday, getting 21 points from Jamaal Franklin at Wells Fargo Center.
A few Eagles at Aztecs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games
San Diego State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games