It's a battle between Bulls and Bears when South Florida and Cal meet in the second Midwest Regional play-in game Wednesday night.
The Bulls, who got an at-large bid by tying for fourth place in the Big East, are lined as 2.5-point underdogs vs. the Bears, who tied for second in the Pac-12.
South Florida is 10-4 ATS past 14 as underdog, but just 2-7 ATS in their past 9 March games overall.
The game is being played at Dayton Arena, which makes it technically a neutral site match.
Supporters of the Bulls have watched them go 20-13 and 16-14 ATS on the year, while the Golden Bears are at 24-9 and 18-13 ATS. In totals betting, the Golden Bears are 12-18-1, while the Bulls have a 8-22 mark.
The Bulls are listed as 2.5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks such as TopBet.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Golden Bears rated this week at No. 26 and the Bulls sitting at No. 57. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction modelling that produced a 72-65 result in favor of the Golden Bears.
How They Match Up:
In the paint, the rebound battle will feature California's No. 147-rated squad against South Florida's No. 191-rated roster. And in long-range shooting, California rates No. 313 in the country with 4.6 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 310 nationally with 4.7 per match.
Defensively, South Florida features the nation's No. 8-rated defense on the road, allowing 58.3 points per game. California, meanwhile, comes in at No. 109 nationally in scoring at home.
South Florida was a 57-53 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Notre Dame. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs. South Florida suffered a 57-53 loss against Notre Dame on Thursday, getting 16 points from Victor Rudd Jr. in a losing effort at Madison Square Garden.
Last time out for California, they were a 70-59 loser as they battled Colorado at home. They failed to cover in the match as a 6-point favorite. The Golden Bears endured a 70-59 loss at the hands of the Buffaloes on Friday, despite an 18 -point effort from Allen Crabbe at Staples Center.
South Florida Bulls Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
After playing Notre Dame are 2-6
After a loss are 8-2
California Golden Bears Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
After playing Colorado are 5-1
After a loss are 9-1
A few Bulls at Golden Bears trends to consider:
California is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 6 games
California is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games