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South Region Trends, Computer Predictions

Florida hasn't lost since December 2 and they are favored to keep that win streak rolling through the end of March Madness.

The senior-laden Gators face the Albany/Mount St. Mary's play-in game winner and if you think they might wilt under the pressure of the top seed, know this - the last time they were a No. 1 seed, they won their first game by 43 points.

The South Region sees a dangerous 13 seed in Tulsa, which faces UCLA. The Golden Hurricane are 17-3 ATS in their past 20 games this season and they are 7-1 ATS in eight recent Madness games.

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The 2 vs 15 clash matches a Kansas team on a 7-0 ATS streak when favored by 10 or more points against an Eastern Kentucky team that won its final seven games. And 3 vs 14 is a clash of hot (Western Michigan is 9-2-1 ATS) and not (Syracuse is 1-6-1 ATS).

Stephen F. Austin has won 28 straight games but they face a tough 5 seed in VCU, 12-2 ATS in their past 14 tournament games since 2004 and riding a 10-3 ATS to end the season.

South Region betting trends

1 vs 16

Florida vs Play in winner

Has not lost since Dec. 2

Last time as a top seed, won first round game by 43 points (2007 vs Jacksonville)

2 vs 15

Kansas vs Eastern Kentucky

EKU ended year on 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS streak

EKU 5-1 ATS past six games as underdogs this season

EKU Lost, but covered only two recent Madness games

Kansas 7-0, 6-1 ATS past seven as double-digit favorites

3 vs 14

Syracuse vs Western Michigan

WMU 9-2-1 ATS past 12 games

WMU 14-2 SU past 16 games overall

WMU first tourney game since 2004

Syracuse 1-6-1 ATS past eight games

Syracuse 2-7 ATS past nine games as favorites

Orange played five straight UNDERs in 2013 Madness

UNDER is 6-1 past seven first-round games for Syracuse

4 vs 13

UCLA vs Tulsa

Tulsa is 17-3 ATS past 20 games

UNDER is 9-3 past 12 Tulsa games

Tulsa 7-1 ATS past eight tournament games

Tulsa is 6-0 ATS in first-round games since 1996

UCLA is 10-3 ATS past 13 games as double-digit favorites

5 vs 12


VCU is 10-3 ATS past 13 games overall

VCU is 12-2 ATS past 14 tournament games since 2004

Stephen F. Austin won 28 straight games

6 vs 11

Ohio State vs Dayton

Dayton finished on 10-2 SU run, lost to St. Joe’s in A10 playoff

Ohio State ended year on 0-6 ATS run

OVER is 8-1 past nine Ohio State tournament games

7 vs 10

New Mexico vs Stanford

New Mexico 14-3 ATS run past 17 games

UNDER is 11-2 past 13 New Mexico games

New Mexico 3-9 ATS in March Madness since 1997

Stanford ended year on 1-5-1 ATS run

Stanford 1-5 ATS past six tournament games

8 vs 9

Colorado vs Pittsburgh

Colorado played five straight UNDERs to end the season

Colorado is 2-12 SU past 14 games as underdogs

Colorado 1-4 ATS in tourney games since 1997

Pitt finished on a 4-1-1 ATS run

8 seeds 8-0 SU and ATS when they are underdogs to 9 seeds

Pitt is 2-8 ATS past 10 tournament games

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The South Region is the only bracket where the top seed is not favored to win the group.

Kansas is the No. 1 seed, but third-seeded Florida is the big favorite, according to Bovada.

"We have them projected ahead of Kansas at No. 1 and Georgetown at No. 2 and therefore the Gators are our favorite," said Kevin Bradley, sportsbook manager at

"They probably deserve to be a No. 1 seed and we are treating the March Madness futures that way."

Indeed, the Gators are a money-making 9-3 ATS in their past 12 tournament games, but they have struggled lately to cover spreads (2-7 ATS).

Kansas on the other hand has been terrific ATS. Georgetown, the 2 seed, has been good in the regular season but lousy at tournament time.

Check out some South Region trends on all games.

Preview: Computer Prediction: 80-69 Kansas
Kansas 10-1 ATS past 11 games
Western Kentucky 7- SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 games
Kansas 9-1 ATS past 10 games as favorite
Kansas won and covered 5 in a row as double-digit chalk
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Kansas tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 78-73 UNC
North Carolina 8-3 ATS past 11 games
North Carolina 7-2 ATS past 9 games as favorite
Villanova 0-4 ATS past 4 tournament games (UNDER 4-0)

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-80 VCU
VCU lost 7 in a row ATS away from home
Akron 6-2 ATS past 8 games as underdog
VCU 11-1 ATS past 12 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-78 Michigan
Michigan 2-10 ATS past 12 games
Michigan 2-9 ATS past 11 games as favorite
South Dakota State 14-3 SU past 17 games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 75-74 Minnesota
Minnesota 11-3 ATS past 14 games as underdog
Minnesota 2-9 ATS past 11 games
UCLA 2-6 ATS past 8 tournament games
OVER is 6-1 past UCLA tournament games
Minnesota 0-5 SU & ATS since 1997

Preview: Computer Prediction: 87-79 Gators
Florida 2-7 ATS past 9 games
UNDER is 8-1 past 9 Gator games
Northwestern State – no trends
Florida 9-3 ATS past 12 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 75-72 San Diego State
San Diego State 1-5 ATS past 6 games
Oklahoma OVER 10-1 past 11 games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 74-71 Hoyas
Georgetown 11-3-1 ATS past 15 games
Florida Gulf Coast 12-2 SU past 14 games
UNDER is 13-4 past 17 Georgetown tournament games
Georgetown 3-7 ATS past 10 tournament games