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St. Mary's favored by 4.5 against Cal Poly on Saturday

St. Mary's GaelsCal Poly Mustangs
Dec 3, 10:00 PM | Mott Gymnasium

St. Mary's Gaels vs Cal Poly Mustangs Odds

4-1TEAM RECORD5-2

The college hoops wagering menu features a clash between Cal Poly and St. Mary's on Saturday, with the host Mustangs trying to win and cover the NCAAB point spread.

Cal Poly battles the Gaels, currently sitting with a 4-1 mark (2-1 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals bettors, are 3-2-1 for the Mustangs and 2-1 for the Gaels.

View St Marys vs Cal Poly Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with Cal Poly in this one will find them as 4.5-point underdogs.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Mustangs rated this week at No. 207 and the Gaels sitting at No. 2. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction modelling that produced a 83-71 result in favor of the Gaels.

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How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Cal Poly's No. 274-ranked scoring average of 63.1 PPG, against a Gaels defense rated No. 30 and allowing 58.2 PPG. The Mustangs FG% has averaged 43.2% to date this season, less than the Gaels shooters have managed so far (51.1% per game).

Defensively, St. Mary's features the nation's No. 162-rated defense on the road, allowing 70 points per game. Cal Poly, meanwhile, comes in at No. 218 nationally in scoring at home.

St. Mary's was an 87-70 winner in their most recent outing at home against Weber State. They covered the 11.5–point spread as favorites. Matthew Dellavedova scored 25 points and added 11 assists for a double-double, leading St. Mary's over Weber State, 87-70, on Monday at McKeon Pavilion.

Cal Poly won its last outing, a 77-51 result against Sacramento State on November 30. They covered in that game as a 12.5-point favorite. Cal Poly cruised to victory on Wednesday, running Sacramento State out of the gym and running up a 77-51 score at Mott Gymnasium.

St. Mary's Gaels Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
After playing Weber State are 0-1
After a win are 6-4

Cal Poly Mustangs Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing San Jose State are 2-2
After playing Sacramento State are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

A few Gaels at Mustangs trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Mary's last 5 games on the road
St. Mary's is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
St. Mary's is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cal Poly is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cal Poly is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cal Poly is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Mary's

Next up:
St. Mary's home to Jackson State, Tuesday, December 13
Cal Poly at San Jose State, Saturday, December 10

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