New Mexico State vs Texas-Arlington for WAC title
After three days of furious action and a couple of major upsets, it will be the No. 3 New Mexico State Aggies versus the No. 4 Texas-Arlington Mavericks in tonight’s Western Athletic Championship Game from Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.
The Aggies were opened as +400 third-favorites to win this tournament with Texas-Arlington listed as a moderate longshot at +1200. These two met twice this season with each team winning straight-up at home, but the Mavericks went 2-0 against the spread. New Mexico State has a 4-2 SU edge in the past six meetings.
This season, the Aggies are 23-10 overall and 16-11-3 ATS ATS, while the Mavericks are 19-12 and 15-11-1 ATS against the number. As for the totals, New Mexico State boasts a 12-14-2 on the OU, and Texas-Arlington is 11-14.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Aggies sit at No. 60 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Mavericks sit at No. 57 on the same chart. The computers running our scores simulations have concluded that the Aggies will win this game 70-66.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Mavericks rank No. 29 in NCAA Division 1 with 38.4 per game. That compares with New Mexico State’s No. 48 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where New Mexico State is college basketball's No. 338-ranked team at 4 per game, while the Mavericks rate No. 214 with 5.7 per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Texas-Arlington owns the country's No. 77-rated mark, allowing 65.6 points per game on the highway. New Mexico State, on the other hand, rates No. 221 in scoring at home.
Texas-Arlington was a 69-53 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas-San Antonio. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites. The Mavericks grabbed a 69-53 win over the Roadrunners on Friday, behind a 19-point effort from Karol Gruszecki at Orleans Arena.
In their last action, New Mexico State was a 74-65 winner at home against Texas State. They failed to cover the 10.5-point spread as favorites. The Aggies grabbed a 74-65 win over the Bobcats on Friday, behind a 14-point effort from Sim Bhullar at Orleans Arena.