Cinderella Alert: Harvard vs. Arizona
No. 14 Harvard will be the lowest seed on the floor at the NCAA Tournament on Saturday as they take on No. 6 Arizona in Round of 32 March Madness odds action at the EnergySolutions Arena.
Harvard bounced No. 3 New Mexico 68-62 as an 11-point underdog in their opening game of the Big Dance on Thursday to set up their matchup with the Wildcats on Saturday. Arizona is coming off an 81-64 victory over No. 11 Belmont as a 4.5-point betting favorite.
The Wildcats sport records of 26-7 and 15-16 ATS heading into this battle, while the Crimson have 20-9 and 14-12-1 ATS marks on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 11-18-1 for the Wildcats and 14-12 for the Crimson.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Wildcats - Crimson odds would favor the Wildcats if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Arizona is rated No. 31 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Harvard is at No. 169. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 77-73 win for the Wildcats.
How They Match Up:
Rebounding is always a key handicapping consideration and Crimson is ranked No. 337 in NCAA hoops at 29.3 per game. Contrast that with Arizona’s No. 92 mark in the paint. When it comes to three-point shooting, Arizona is the No. 44-ranked team in the country at 7.7 per game, while Harvard rates No. 137 at 6.4 per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Harvard owns the country's No. 60-rated mark, allowing 64.7 points per game on the highway. Arizona, on the other hand, rates No. 60 in scoring at home.
Harvard was a 68-62 winner in their most recent outing on the road against New Mexico. They covered the 10.5-point spread as underdogs. Harvard earned a 68-62 victory over New Mexico on Thursday, getting 18 points from Wesley Saunders at EnergySolutions Arena.
Arizona was an 81-64 winner in its last match at home against Belmont. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites. Mark Lyons scored 23 points leading the Wildcats to an 81-64 victory over Belmont at EnergySolutions Arena on Thursday.
A few Crimson at Wildcats trends to consider:
Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games