Seventh seeded Notre Dame takes on No. 10 Iowa State Friday as the first round of the West region tips off with betting expected to be very tight.
Notre Dame lost the Big East semifinal and Iowa State suffered the same fate in the Big 12. But both had solid seasons, the Irish with a 25-9 campaign and the Cyclones at 22-11.
The Irish had five wins over Top 25 teams, led by Jerian Grant (guard) and Jack Cooley (forward). The Cyclones had two wins over top competition and get contributions from Will Clyburn (guard), Tyrus McGee (guard) and Melvin Ejim (forward).
Notre Dame has won 7 in a row SU as a favorite while ISU has struggled to a 1-10 SU, 3-8 ATS past 11 games as underdog. The Cyclones are also heavily trending towards the OVER lately.
The Fighting Irish currently sports a 25-9 record overall in NCAAB action, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 16-15 ATS. The Cyclones are 22-11 and 15-13 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Fighting Irish produce a 16-12 OVER/UNDER record on the season, while the Cyclones have gone 21-6 against the number.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 50-ranked Fighting Irish and the No. 46-rated Cyclones in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 80-78 win for the Cyclones on Friday.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Cyclones rank No. 21 in NCAA Division 1 with 38.7 per game. That compares with Notre Dame’s No. 100 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Notre Dame is college basketball's No. 123-ranked team at 6.6 per game, while the Cyclones rate No. 1 with 9.8 per game.
Defensively, Iowa State features the nation's No. 319-rated defense on the road, allowing 76.3 points per game. Notre Dame, meanwhile, comes in at No. 82 nationally in scoring at home.
Iowa State lost its last outing, an 88-73 result against Kansas on March 15. They failed to cover in that game as a 5.5-point underdog. The Cyclones got 19 points from Georges Niang, but it was Kansas that prevailed in an 88-73 final on Friday at Sprint Center.
In their last action, Notre Dame was a 69-57 loser on the road against Louisville. They failed to cover the 8.5-point spread as underdogs. Jack Cooley scored 14 points in a futile effort to lead the Fighting Irish to a win (they lost 69-57 to Louisville at Madison Square Garden on Friday).
Iowa State Cyclones Trends:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
After playing Kansas are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Trends:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
After playing Louisville are 8-2
After a loss are 8-2
A few Cyclones at Fighting Irish trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games
Notre Dame is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games