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West Region Trends, Computer Predictions

Arizona earned the top seed in the West Region despite a Pac-12 tournament loss and they boast several profitable trends heading into the Madness.

They are 6-0 ATS in six recent tourney games and 4-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite. They face Big Sky champion Weber State, who has trended OVER the total in four recent tournament matches.

At 14 and 13, there are two teams that are winless in the Madness for the past two decades. Louisiana Lafayette (0-3 SU) faces Creighton, while New Mexico State (0-5 SU) faces San Diego State.

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Nebraska, playing for the first time in tourney since 1998, hit the bracket as one of the hottest betting teams (14-3 ATS). They face a talented Baylor team, which is also riding a solid ATS sreak.

BYU ended the year on a 10-2 SU run, but the Cougars are just 1-7-1 ATS in first-round games since 2001. They face an Oregon team riding a 8-2-1 ATS streak in its past 11 games.

West Region betting trends

1 vs 16

Arizona vs Weber State

Arizona 4-0 ATS past four games as double-digit favorites

Arizona 6-0 ATS past six tournament games

OVER is 5-1 past six Zona first-round games

Weber State OVER is 3-1 in four tournament games since 2003

Weber State won Big Sky title

2 vs 15

Wisconsin vs American

Wisconsin 4-10 ATS past 14 games as favorites

Wisconsin 5-2 ATS past seven first-round games

American won the Patriot League title

American ended year on 5-1 SU run

3 vs 14

Creighton vs Louisiana-Lafayette

Creighton 3-9 SU in the tournament since 1999

Creighton 10-3 ATS as double-digit chalk since December

Ragin Cajuns 0-3 SU in tournament games since 1995, all UNDERs

Ragin Cajuns ended year on 11-2 SU run

4 vs 13

San Diego State vs New Mexico State

UNDER is 13-5 past 18 SD State games

SD State 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past eight games as favorites

New Mexico State ended season on 9-1 SU run

NM State 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS in tourney since 1999

NM State played four straight tournament UNDERs

5 vs 12

Oklahoma vs North Dakota State

Oklahoma 6-1 ATS past seven games overall

North Dakota State 21-3 SU past 24 games

North Dakota State UNDER is 9-2 past 11 games

6 vs 11

Baylor vs Nebraska

Baylor 8-3-1 ATS past 12 games

Nebraska is 14-3 ATS past 17 games

UNDER is 12-4 past 16 Husker games

First time in tourney for Huskers since 1998

7 vs 10

Oregon vs BYU

Oregon 8-2-1 ATS past 11 games

OVER is 5-1 past six Duck tournament games

BYU ended year on 10-2 SU run

BYU 1-7-1 ATS in first-round games since 2001

8 vs 9

Gonzaga vs Oklahoma State

Gonzaga ended year on 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS

Gonzaga 4-9 ATS in tournament since 2007

Oklahoma State won and covered five straight as favorites

UNDER is 7-1 past eight OSU first-round games

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The West Region boasts a couple of teams that could win it all and some interesting trends that second-seeded Ohio State could be the best bet.

The top seed is Gonzaga, winners of 14 straight games. But their trend in tournament games has been OVER the total (8-2 past 10 bracket matches). They face a scrappy Southern team.

New Mexico has been excellent and earned the 3 seed with its Mountain West crown. But the Lobos have struggled ATS at tournament time.

Does that make Ohio State, conference champ of the nation’s toughest group in the Big Ten, the favorite? They have been hot lately and they have shown toughness at bracket time, going 13-5 SU in the tournament since 2007.

Check out a few West Region trends on all the opening round games.

Preview: Computer Prediction: 84-76 Gonzaga
Gonzaga has won 14 straight SU
UNDER is 14-1-1 past 16 Zags games
Southern 19-3 SU past 22 games
Gonzaga OVER is 8-2 past 10 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 78-73 Panthers
Pittsburgh 6-2 SU & ATS past 8 games away from home
Wichita State OVER 9-3 past 12 games as underdog
Wichita State 12-4 ATS past 16 games overall
Pitt 2-7 ATS past 9 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 77-76 Mississippi
Wisconsin is OVER 6-1 past 7 games as favorite
Mississippi is 9-2 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Wisconsin 5-1 ATS past 6 first-round games
Wisconsin 5-1 ATS past 2 tournaments
Ole Miss first tournament trip since 2002

Preview: Computer Prediction: 77-76 Boise State
Boise State 9-2 ATS past 11 games
Boise State 5-0 ATS past 5 as favorite
LaSalle 1-6-1 ATS past 8 games as underdog
Winner faces:
Kansas State never lost as a favorite all season (20-0 SU)

Preview: Computer Prediction: 83-79 Belmont
Arizona 2-8 ATS past 10 games away from home
Belmont 17-2 SU last 19 games
Belmont 1-10 SU as underdog since 2009
Arizona 11-4 ATS past 15 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 72-70 New Mexico
New Mexico 7-2 ATS past 9 games overall
New Mexico 9-3-2 ATS past 14 games as favorite
Harvard 6-1 ATS past 7 games as underdog
New Mexico 1-5 ATS past 6 tournament games
New Mexico UNDER is 7-1 past 8 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 80-78 Iowa State
Notre Dame won 7 in a row SU as favorite
Iowa State OVER is 14-1 past 15 games
Iowa State played 11 straight OVERs as underdog
Iowa State is 1-10 SU, 3-8 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Notre Dame 1-7 ATS past 8 tournament games
Notre Dame UNDER is 8-1-1 past 10 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-76 Ohio State
Ohio State won 8 in a row (7-1 ATS)
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 Buckeye games
Ohio State is 6-1 ATS past 7 as favorite
Iona won 5 straight to end the season
Iona OVER is 7-1 past 8 as double-digit underdog
Ohio State 13-5 SU in tournament since 2007