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Kentucky Small Faves at Vanderbilt

Moneyline bettors take note: the last four No. 1 teams to visit Vanderbilt all lost.

Going back to UNC in 1987, they have won four in a row against visiting top-ranked schools and they are 5.5-point underdogs against 24-1 Kentucky tonight.

The Commodores also beat Tennessee in 2008, Florida in 2007, Kentucky in 1993.

View Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
If you're going with the Commodores in this one, they're listed as 5.5-point underdogs on the NCAAB betting menu for Monday's contest. The moneyline was +185 at BetOnline earlier today.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Commodores - Wildcats odds would favor the Wildcats if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Vanderbilt is rated No. 32 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Kentucky is at No. 3. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 90-77 win for the Wildcats.

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How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Vanderbilt has the nation's No. 51-rated offensive output, at 74.3 PPG. The visiting Wildcats defense ranks No. 9 allowing on average 57.7 PPG. The Commodores FG% has averaged 46.8% so far, less than the Wildcats marksmen have achieved on the year, 48.8% per game.

Defensively, Kentucky features the nation's No. 5-rated defense on the road, allowing 54.4 points per game. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, comes in at No. 99 nationally in scoring at home.

Kentucky won its last outing, a 78-58 result against Florida on February 7. They covered in that game as a 9-point favorite. The Wildcats blew out Florida on Tuesday, running up a 20+ point victory in a 78-58 win at Rupp Arena.

Vanderbilt was a 76-61 winner in their most recent outing at home against LSU. They covered the 11-point spread as favorites. Festus Ezeli scored 21 points leading the Commodores to a 76-61 victory over LSU at Memorial Gymnasium on Wednesday.

Kentucky Wildcats Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Mississippi are 8-2
After playing Florida are 9-1
After a win are 10-0

Vanderbilt Commodores Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Mississippi are 6-4
After playing LSU are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

 

A few Wildcats at Commodores trends to consider:
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kentucky's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 7 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Kentucky is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games at home
Vanderbilt is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

Next up:
Kentucky home to Mississippi, Saturday, February 18
Vanderbilt at Mississippi, Thursday, February 16

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