Aggies visit Bobcats in Week 14 battle
New Mexico State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats Odds
Getting a win and covering the posted spread will be the goals for the Aggies on Saturday when they take on the Bobcats at Bobcat Stadium in Week 14 action.
The Aggies will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 4-7 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Bobcats are 7-4 ATS. New Mexico State is 5-5 against the total, while Texas State is 3-7 versus the number.
Betting Line: Texas State were sitting as 11.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Bobcats, currently No. 102 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Aggies, who rate No. 123 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 20-9 victory for the Bobcats.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Texas State's No. 85-ranked offense, averaging 25.2 PPG, against a Aggies defense that ranks No. 111 this week at 37 PPG. The Bobcats aerial game is averaging 211.2 yards per game, less than the Aggies secondary allows through the air, 270.5 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Aggies own the league's No. 105-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 222.8 yards per game when on the road. Texas State, on the other hand, rates No. 40 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
New Mexico State lost its last outing, a 50-14 result against BYU on November 24. New Mexico State failed to cover in that game as a 27.5-point underdog, while the 64 combined points took the game OVER the total. New Mexico State didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Cougars as BYU blasted them 50-14 in Week 13 action.
Last time out for Texas State, they were a 38-31 loser as they battled UTSA on the road. Texas State failed to cover in the match as a 1-point favorite, while 69 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Shaun Rutherford's 324-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as UTSA earned a 38-31 win over Texas State on Saturday at Alamodome.
New Mexico State Aggies Trends:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the conference are 1-9
Texas State Bobcats Trends:
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 4-5
After a loss are 2-8
A few Aggies at Bobcats trends to consider:
New Mexico State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 8 games
Texas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Texas State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games