Armed Forces Bowl: MTSU vs Navy
It'll be Middle Tennessee vs. Navy on December 30 as those schools meet in the Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth.
Underdogs have covered past five Armed Forces Bowls, a trend that will make chalk bettors think twice here.
The OVER is 7-3 Navy’s past 10 bowl games and they are 5-1 ATS in their past six games in 2013.
Middle Tenn, meanwhile, has struggled on the highway, going 1-6 ATS past seven games away from home. The line was still -6.5 as of late Sunday at [custom:bosog-link].
They bring a 7-4 record (8-3 ATS) to the bowl season against the 8-4 Blue Raiders, who are 5-7 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Navy go 5-6 so far and the Blue Raiders go 5-7.
Armed Forces Bowl odds: Navy opened as 7-point chalk against MTU at [custom:5dimes] with a total of 55. Can the underdog Raiders make it six straight Armed Forces Bowl covers for the dogs?
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 70-rated Midshipmen and the No. 53-rated Blue Raiders in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 34-32 win for the Midshipmen on Monday.
Middle Tennessee was a 48-17 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas El Paso. They covered the 24-point spread as favorites, while the total score (65) made winners of OVER bettors. Keenan Reynolds tore up the turf for 240 rushing yards in the latest Midshipmen game, a 58-52 win over the Spartans at Spartan Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Navy's No. 32-ranked offense, averaging 34.36 PPG, against a Blue Raiders defense that ranks No. 63 this week at 26.42 PPG. The Midshipmen aerial game is averaging 98.91 yards per game, less than the Blue Raiders secondary allows through the air, 219.17 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Blue Raiders feature the league's No. 103-rated road run defense, allowing 218.17 yards per game. Navy, meanwhile, ranks No. 5 in rushing offense at home.