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Aztecs Lobos Betting Preview for Week 10

New Mexico Lobos San Diego State Aztecs
2-5 November 02, 2013, 08:00 | Qualcomm Stadium 3-4



New Mexico travels to San Diego State on Saturday, hoping to boost its 2-5 mark in Week 10 action with a victory over the Aztecs.

Supporters of the Lobos have seen them go 2-5 and 3-3-1 ATS so far this season, while the Aztecs are at 3-4 and 3-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Aztecs are 2-5, while the Lobos are 5-2.

View New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Odds and Stats.

On the opening line for this matchup, the Aztecs sat as -17-point favorites, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

This game matches up the No. 67 (Aztecs) and the No. 96 (Lobos) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 26-24 result in favor of the Lobos is predicted by handicapping models.

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In their last action, New Mexico was a 45-10 loser at home against Utah State. They failed to cover the 14-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Quinn Kaehler handled the Bulldogs defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 337 yards, but San Diego State still lost to Fresno State 35-28.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Diego State's No. 83-ranked offense (26.86 PPG) against a Lobos defense that ranks No. 115 at 37.29 PPG. The Aztecs passing attack has averaged 269.43 yards per game, more than the Lobos give up through the air (227.29 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Lobos own the league's No. 118-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 283.33 yards per game when on the road. San Diego State, on the other hand, rates No. 86 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Lobos at Aztecs trends to consider:
New Mexico is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games
New Mexico is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games
New Mexico is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
San Diego State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 8 games
San Diego State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 8 games at home


Next up:
New Mexico at Air Force, Friday, November 8th
San Diego State at San Jose State, Saturday, November 9th