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Aztecs open as underdog vs Horned Frogs

TCU Horned FrogsSan Diego State Aztecs
Oct 8, 10:30 PM | Grass of Qualcomm Stadium

TCU Horned Frogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Odds

3-2TEAM RECORD3-1

TCU travels to San Diego State on Saturday, hoping to boost its 3-2 mark in Week 6 action with a victory over the Aztecs.

The Aztecs sport records of 3-1 and 2-2 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Horned Frogs sit at 3-2 and 2-3 ATS on the season. The over under records are 2-2 for the Aztecs and 5-0 for the Horned Frogs.

View TCU vs San Diego State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks have set the Aztecs as 4-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest.

Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 28-rated Aztecs and the No. 40-rated Horned Frogs in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 45-38 win for the Horned Frogs on Saturday.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Diego State's No. 55-ranked offense (30.2 PPG) against a Horned Frogs defense that ranks No. 78 at 27.8 PPG. The Aztecs passing attack has averaged 218.8 yards per game, less than the Horned Frogs give up through the air (267.6 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Horned Frogs own the league's No. 91-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 199.5 yards per game when on the road. San Diego State, on the other hand, rates No. 17 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

TCU lost its last outing, a 40-33 result against Southern Methodist on October 1. TCU failed to cover in that game as a 13-point favorite, while the 73 combined points took the game OVER the total.

San Diego State lost its last outing, a 28-7 result against Michigan on September 24. San Diego State failed to cover in that game as a 10-point underdog, while the 35 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

TCU Horned Frogs Trends:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 10-0

San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few Horned Frogs at Aztecs trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of TCU's last 5 games
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
TCU is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games on the road
TCU is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
San Diego State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Diego State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing TCU
San Diego State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing TCU

Next up:
TCU home to New Mexico, Saturday, October 22
San Diego State at Air Force, Thursday, October 13

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