San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos Odds
In a key game out in the Mountain West the 7-1 Boise State Broncos host the 6-3 San Diego State Aztecs Saturday night (10:30 pm ET, CBS Sports Network).
Boise State, which leads the MWC at 4-0, was an early 14-point favorite over SD State, which is tied for second place at 4-1.
Betting Line: Bettors going with the Broncos in this game found them listed as 15-point favorites on the betting line at Sportsbook.ag earlier in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Broncos - Aztecs odds would favor the Broncos if the lines were set according to power ranks. Boise State is rated No. 40 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Aztecs sit at No. 85. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 41-37 win for the Broncos.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Boise State's No. 63-ranked offense (28.5 PPG) against a Aztecs defense that ranks No. 58 at 26.4 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 216.2 yards per game, less than the Aztecs give up through the air (257.9 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Aztecs feature the league's No. 27-rated road run defense, allowing 130.7 yards per game. Boise State, meanwhile, ranks No. 42 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for San Diego State, they were a 24-13 winner as they battled UNLV at home. San Diego State failed to cover in the match as a 17.5-point favorite, while 37 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. UNLV was unable to contain Adam Muema in its last action Saturday and the result was a 24-13 Week 9 loss against the Aztecs.
Boise State won its last outing, a 45-14 result against Wyoming on October 27. Boise State covered in that game as a 16-point favorite, while the 59 combined points took the game OVER the total. Wyoming was unable to contain D.J. Harper in its last action Saturday and the result was a 45-14 Week 9 loss against the Broncos.
San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3
Boise State Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few Aztecs at Broncos trends to consider:
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games
San Diego State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boise State's last 7 games at home
Boise State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
San Diego State home to Air Force, Saturday, November 10
Boise State at Hawaii, Saturday, November 10