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Badgers 40 Point Chalk vs Hoosiers

The Wisconsin Badgers get a tune-up game this week hosting the Indiana Hoosiers but it won't be a walk in the park covering a huge college football point spread.

Wisconsin is rolling at 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, and have beaten every team they’ve faced by at least 31 points; and last year they beat Indiana 83-20. That's a good thing since the Badgers opened as 40-point favorites.

Monte Ball rushed for 151 yards and four touchdowns in Wisconsin’s 48-17 win over Nebraska, while players are quitting the Indiana team in recent weeks.

View Indiana vs Wisconsin Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: On the opening line for this matchup the Badgers sat as 39-point favorites . The total was sitting at 60 early in the week.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 1 (Badgers) and the No. 84 (Hoosiers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 65-23 result in favor of the Badgers is predicted by handicapping models (which would 42 points and a cover!)

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Wisconsin's No. 3-ranked offense (48.4 PPG) against a Hoosiers defense that ranks No. 65 at 27.2 PPG. The Badgers passing attack has averaged 280.4 yards per game, more than the Hoosiers give up through the air (211.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Hoosiers feature the league's No. 108-rated road run defense, allowing 218 yards per game. Wisconsin, meanwhile, ranks No. 19 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Indiana was a 41-20 loser at home against Illinois. They failed to cover the 14–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (61) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

In their last action, Wisconsin was a 48-17 winner at home against Nebraska. They covered the 10–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (65) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Indiana Hoosiers Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 1-9

Wisconsin Badgers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2

 

A few Hoosiers at Badgers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Wisconsin is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 8 games when playing Indiana

Next up:
Indiana at Iowa, Saturday, October 22
Wisconsin at Michigan State, Saturday, October 22

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