Badgers vs Boilermakers Betting Preview
Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers Odds
No. 24 Wisconsin, which just missed a chance to upset Arizona State over the weekend, heads home to open Big Ten play against 1-2 Purdue Saturday at Camp Randall (3:30 pm ET, ESPN2).
As of early this week the Badgers, who have won seven in a row in this series, were favored by 24 points over the Boilers, who just gave Notre Dame all it could handle in a 31-24 loss.
Betting Line: On the opening line for this matchup, the Badgers sat as 23-point favorites, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 15-rated Badgers and the No. 115-ranked Boilermakers, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 55-12 result in favor of the Badgers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Wisconsin's No. 28-ranked offense (41 PPG) against a Boilermakers defense that ranks No. 84 at 29 PPG. The Badgers passing attack has averaged 211.3 yards per game, less than the Boilermakers give up through the air (256.3 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Boilermakers feature the league's No. 71-rated road run defense, allowing 221 yards per game. Wisconsin, meanwhile, ranks No. 3 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Purdue was a 31-24 loser at home against Notre Dame. They covered the 17-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Boilermakers suffered a Week 3 loss against Notre Dame in their last game, falling 31-24 at Ross-Ade Stadium.
Wisconsin lost its last outing, a 32-30 result against Arizona State on September 14. Wisconsin covered in that game as a 7-point underdog, while the 62 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, Wisconsin got a 193-yard performance from Melvin Gordon, but Arizona State prevailed 32-30.
Purdue Boilermakers Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6
Wisconsin Badgers Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few Boilermakers at Badgers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin
Purdue is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Purdue is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Wisconsin is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games when playing Purdue
Purdue home to Northern Illinois, Saturday, September 28
Wisconsin at Ohio State, Saturday, September 28