Big Ten Championship Game Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and the Wisconsin Badgers provided one of the most entertaining games of the regular season back in October, and they’ll meet for a rematch and a trip to the Rose Bowl in the Big Ten Championship Game.
While not much has separated these two teams at 5-5 SU and ATS in their last 10 meetings, offense has been consistent; the OVER is 8-0-1 in their last nine games.
Montee Ball has scored 34 touchdowns this season, and is just five shy of Barry Sanders’ all-time single-season record of 39.
The Badgers will face the 10-2 Spartans, who own a 8-4 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Badgers are 8-4 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Spartans are 5-6 favoring the OVER.
Betting Line: The Spartans were listed as 10-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. The total sat at 55 over at BetOnline where their bonus package up to $900 in ossible perks continues this week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Badgers - Spartans odds would favor the Badgers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Wisconsin is rated No. 5 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Spartans sit at No. 8. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 56-41 win for the Badgers.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Wisconsin's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 44.8 PPG, against a Spartans defense that ranks No. 6 this week at 15.4 PPG. The Badgers aerial game is averaging 230.4 yards per game, more than the Spartans secondary allows through the air, 164.2 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Spartans own the league's No. 16-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 108.6 yards per game when on the road. Wisconsin, on the other hand, rates No. 9 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Michigan State was a 31-17 winner in its last match on the road against Northwestern. They covered the 6–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 48 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
In their last action, Wisconsin was a 45-7 winner at home against Penn State. They covered the 17–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors.
Michigan State Spartans Trends:
When playing in December are 2-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When an underdog on the road are 3-7
Wisconsin Badgers Trends:
When playing in December are 5-2
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When favored at home are 10-0
A few Spartans at Badgers trends to consider:
Michigan State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Michigan State's last 9 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games
Michigan State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Wisconsin's last 9 games when playing Michigan State
Wisconsin is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 9 games
Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games