BCS Championship Odds: FSU vs Auburn
The only undefeated school in the country, Florida State will be looking to stay that way on Monday as they face Auburn in the BCS National Championship Game.
And if recent history holds true, the Seminoles will cover this big spread, which opened at nine points in early December.
Florida State went to 13-0 on the season by running roughshod over Duke in a 45-7 victory in the ACC Championship Game, covering a big 30-point spread at the sportsbooks in the process.
They are 9-0-1 ATS in their past 10 bowl games and 11-2 ATS as a favorite of 9 or more points. [ See the latest line and latest bowl wagering special at Bovada ]
Auburn moved up to No. 2 in the final BCS rankings after they got past Missouri by a 59-42 score in the SEC Championship Game. Before that, they pulled off consecutive miracle finishes to defeat Alabama and Georgia.
Auburn is 4-1 ATS past five bowl games and has won outright past two times as underdog of 9 or more points. Read why one sportsbook is dreading an Auburn victory.
However, favorites have dominated the spread in the BCS title game lately, going 4-1 ATS. Florida State looked to buck the trend of SEC domination, as the SEC has won and covered all seven BCS championship games.
As expected, sportsbooks have also added dozens of fun BCS championship props on Jameis Winston, Nick Marshall and other players.
The Seminoles are 13-0 so far on the season, and 11-2 ATS vs. the number. The Tigers, meanwhile, are 12-1 and 11-2 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Florida State go 10-3 and the Tigers go 8-5 on the totals.
The Seminoles sit at No. 1 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Tigers are at No. 25 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Seminoles will win this game 49-35.
Auburn won its last outing, a 59-42 result against Missouri on December 7. Auburn covered in that game as a 1.5-point underdog, while the 101 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, Florida State's aerial attack generated 330 yards and the Seminoles came away with a 45-7 victory over Duke at Bank of America Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida State's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 53 PPG, against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 38 this week at 24 PPG. The Seminoles aerial game is averaging 322 yards per game, more than the Tigers secondary allows through the air, 259.31 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Tigers feature the league's No. 88-rated road run defense, allowing 202.25 yards per game. Florida State, meanwhile, ranks No. 18 in rushing offense at home.