Memphis vs Cincinnati Betting Pick
The visiting Cincinnati Bearcats hope to send their backers to the pay window on Wednesday as they look to cover the spread at Liberty Bowl against the Tigers.
And this is a situation where they excelled over the years. As a small dog of three or less points, the Bearcats are on a 5-0 SU and ATS run.
Memphis is also on a 0-5 ATS run against Cincy, which is another cause for concern for Tigers backers.
“The Tigers haven’t covered a spread against the Bearcats in five tries and the Bearcats have been money in the bank as a small road favorite,” said Jack Randall.
The Tigers currently sport a record of 1-5, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-3 ATS. The Bearcats are 5-2 and 3-4 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Tigers post a 1-5 over under record this season, while the Bearcats have gone 4-3 against the number.
Bettors looking to back the visiting Bearcats in this one found them as -3-point favorites on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. The over under number was 46 early in the week at BetOnline for this game.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Tigers at No. 47 and the Bearcats at No. 39 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 37-20 result in favor of the Bearcats.
Last time out for Cincinnati, they were a 41-16 winner as they battled Connecticut at home. Cincinnati covered in the match as a 15.5-point favorite, while 57 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Tigers suffered a Week 8 loss against Southern Methodist in their last game, falling 34-29 at Liberty Bowl.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Memphis's No. 107-ranked offense (20.17 PPG) against a Bearcats defense that ranks No. 10 at 17.57 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 198.83 yards per game, more than the Bearcats give up through the air (183.14 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Bearcats own the league's No. 13-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 109.67 yards per game when on the road. Memphis, on the other hand, rates No. 79 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Bearcats at Tigers trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Cincinnati at Southern Methodist, Saturday, November 9th
Memphis at Tennessee-Martin, Saturday, November 9th