Bears battle Longhorns in Week 15 odds
|Texas Longhorns||Baylor Bears|
The Baylor Bears haven't won a football conference championship since they tied for first place in the ol' Southwest Conference 20 years ago.
And while their chances took a huge hit a couple weeks ago, the Bears ain't dead yet.
To do their part Coach Briles' boys have to take care of business against Texas Saturday in Waco.
The Bears and Longhorns are tied for first place in the Big 12 with Oklahoma State, all at 7-1 in conference play. But the Cowboys own the head-to-head advantage, having already beaten both Baylor and Texas.
So to win the Big 12 title Baylor and Texas both need Oklahoma to beat Oklahoma State early Saturday; then the Bears and 'Horns can settle the issue.
Texas had beaten Baylor 12 times in a row, but the Bears have won two of the last three in this series. In the early betting Baylor, 8-3 ATS on the season, was favored by 14 points over Texas at Bovada but it was bet up to -15.5 Friday.
The Longhorns will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 6-5 ATS against the number this season, while the Bears are 8-3 ATS. Texas is 5-6 on the totals; Baylor is 8-3.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Bears rated this week at No. 2 and the Longhorns sitting at No. 48. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 52-39 result in favor of the Bears this week.
The Bears grabbed a Week 14 victory over the Horned Frogs in their last game, winning 41-38 at Amon Carter Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baylor's No. 1-ranked offense (55.36 PPG) against a Longhorns defense that ranks No. 53 at 25.09 PPG. The Bears passing attack has averaged 365.91 yards per game, more than the Longhorns give up through the air (215.82 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Longhorns feature the league's No. 108-rated road run defense, allowing 226.25 yards per game. Baylor, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.
A few Longhorns at Bears trends to consider:
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baylor is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games
Baylor is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baylor's last 11 games
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home