Betting Against Ranked Teams?
Some college football bettors would tell you that wagering on ranked road underdogs against an unranked home foe is an out-and-out trap, but the numbers suggest otherwise.
No system is foolproof, and while it’s unlike us to put the fate of our bankroll in the hands of the AP Top 25 and the college football head coaches that chime in on the Coaches’ Poll every week, the reality is that the rankings tend to point bettors in the right direction.
It is a tricky thing, of course, but a majority of ranked dogs cover the spread against unranked opponents. It’s a tough call when a No. 25 team is dogged on the road against an unranked home team, but when in doubt, take the pup in that spot.
key to Betting Ranked road Dogs
The key to all of this is to do your usual college football handicapping, letting the opportunity act as a chance to evalaute the situation in an in-depth manner. Don’t blindly take every ranked road dog – you (and your bankroll) will be sorry.
It’s smart to lean that way, though. The difference maker is the opponent in question. Are they close to being ranked themselves? Do they carry a strong homefield advantage into the contest? What do the matchups look like? Leaving the point spread aside for a minute, which team should win this game outright?
so What about ranked home dogs?
Taking this angle further, it’s pure gold when the situation is reversed. Jump all over ranked college football underdogs that are playing at home, especially if they’re up against an unranked team. This is a rare occurence on the college football betting odds, but it does happen every couple of weeks.
A sharper wager could be to take ranked home pups against a ranked road favorite. Chances are you’ll have more points to work with, and conference rivalries and tendencies could come into play.
Finally, note that the rankings are a better window into which teams have it and which programs don’t later on in the season - bet accordingly. Betting ranked underdogs against unranked foes is one NCAA football betting theory among many.