Betting line favors Broncos over Golden Eagles
Boise State Broncos vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Odds
Southern Miss looks to cover the Golden Eagles-Broncos point spread this week and improve its overall 0-4 mark when they host Boise State in Week 6 action.
This season the Golden Eagles are 0-4 overall and 1-3 ATS against the number, while the Broncos are 3-1 and 2-2 ATS. As for the totals, Southern Miss is 2-2 on the OU, and Boise State is 1-3.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Golden Eagles pegged as 9.5-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, had yet to be posted as of writing - check the lines shortly.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Golden Eagles, currently No. 97 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Broncos, who rate No. 36 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 29-5 victory for the Broncos.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Southern Miss's No. 117-ranked offense (17 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 25 at 16 PPG. The Golden Eagles passing attack has averaged 108.5 yards per game, less than the Broncos give up through the air (132.8 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 112-rated road run defense, allowing 271.5 yards per game. Southern Miss, meanwhile, ranks No. 82 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Boise State was a 32-29 winner on the road against New Mexico. They failed to cover the 23.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (61) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Joe Southwick throttled the Lobos defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 311 yards as Boise State handed New Mexico a 32-29 defeat.
Last time out for Southern Miss, they were a 21-17 loser as they battled Louisville at home. Southern Miss covered in the match as a 11-point underdog, while 38 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Golden Eagles suffered a Week 5 loss against Louisville in their last game, falling 21-17 at MM Roberts Stadium.
Boise State Broncos Trends:
When playing in October are 10-0
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 9-1
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4
A few Broncos at Golden Eagles trends to consider:
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Boise State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games at home
Southern Miss is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Southern Miss is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Southern Miss is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boise State home to Fresno State, Saturday, October 13
Southern Miss at Central Florida, Saturday, October 13