Betting line favors Bulldogs over Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs Odds
The visiting Aztecs hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Bulldog Stadium against the Bulldogs.
Supporters of the Aztecs have seen them go 2-2 and 2-2 ATS so far this season, while the Bulldogs are at 2-2 and 4-0 ATS. In totals betting, the Bulldogs are 1-2, while the Aztecs are 1-2.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks had the Bulldogs pegged as 7.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, had yet to be posted as of writing - check the lines shortly.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Bulldogs, currently No. 18 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Aztecs, who rate No. 83 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 47-38 victory for the Bulldogs.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Fresno State's No. 20-ranked offense (39.2 PPG) against a Aztecs defense that ranks No. 78 at 26.8 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 285 yards per game, more than the Aztecs give up through the air (249 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Aztecs feature the league's No. 27-rated road run defense, allowing 106 yards per game. Fresno State, meanwhile, ranks No. 24 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, San Diego State was a 38-34 loser at home against San Jose State. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (72) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Adam Muema ran through the San Jose State defense for 202 yards in San Diego State's last game, but the Aztecs still lost a 38-34 decision at Qualcomm Stadium.
In their last action, Fresno State was a 27-26 loser on the road against Tulsa. They covered the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (53) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Robbie Rouse tore up the turf for 135 rushing yards in the latest Bulldogs game, a 27-26 loss to the Golden Hurricane at Chapman Stadium.
San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Fresno State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few Aztecs at Bulldogs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Fresno State
San Diego State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Fresno State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego State
Fresno State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Fresno State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State home to Hawaii, Saturday, October 6
Fresno State at Colorado State, Saturday, October 6