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Betting line favors Bulldogs over Falcons

Air Force FalconsFresno State Bulldogs
Nov 24, 3:30 PM | Grass of Bulldog Stadium

Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs Odds

6-5TEAM RECORD8-3

Air Force travels to Fresno State on Saturday, hoping to boost its 6-5 mark in Week 13 action with a victory over the Bulldogs.

They battle the Falcons, currently with a 6-5 mark (3-8 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 4-6 for the Bulldogs and 3-6-1 for the Falcons.

View Air Force vs Fresno State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Bulldogs as 14.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Bulldogs - Falcons odds would favor the Bulldogs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Fresno State is rated No. 5 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Falcons sit at No. 101. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 46-33 win for the Bulldogs.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Fresno State's No. 14-ranked offense (39.5 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 60 at 26.9 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 308.4 yards per game, more than the Falcons give up through the air (179.1 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 107-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 231.4 yards per game when on the road. Fresno State, on the other hand, rates No. 54 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Air Force was a 21-7 winner in their most recent outing at home against Hawaii. They failed to cover the 23.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (28) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Fresno State won its last outing, a 52-36 result against Nevada on November 10. Fresno State covered in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 88 combined points took the game OVER the total. Robbie Rouse tore up the turf for 261 rushing yards in the latest Bulldogs game, a 52-36 win over the Wolf Pack at Mackay Stadium.

Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Fresno State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few Falcons at Bulldogs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games
Air Force is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Air Force is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Fresno State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games