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SMU vs Pitt in Compass Bowl Pick

Southern Methodist MustangsPittsburgh Panthers
Jan 7, 1:00 PM | Turf of Legion Field

Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Pittsburgh Panthers Odds

7-5TEAM RECORD6-6

The Compass Bowl welcomes Pitt back again in 2012 and this time its against the SMU Mustangs.

Pitt rolled to a 5-0 ATS mark in its final five games but was just 6-6 on the year. SMU started well, then slumped in the second half.
Supporters of the Mustangs have seen them go 7-5 and 4-8 ATS so far this season, while the Panthers are at 6-6 and 7-5 ATS. In totals betting, the Panthers are 5-7, while the Mustangs are 4-8.

[ Full Compass Bowl odds preview and links to contests and live bowl odds ]

View Southern Methodist vs Pittsburgh Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks had the Panthers pegged as 5.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was hovering between 47 and 48 at shops such as 5Dimes.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Pittsburgh's No. 70-ranked offense (25.8 PPG) against a Mustangs defense that ranks No. 54 at 24.5 PPG. The Panthers passing attack has averaged 211 yards per game, less than the Mustangs give up through the air (223.9 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Mustangs feature the league's No. 39-rated road run defense, allowing 143.3 yards per game. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, ranks No. 78 in rushing offense at home.

Southern Methodist won its last outing, a 27-24 result against Rice on November 26. Southern Methodist failed to cover in that game as a 13-point favorite, while the 51 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Pittsburgh won its last outing, a 33-20 result against Syracuse on December 3. Pittsburgh covered in that game as a 8.5-point favorite, while the 53 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Southern Methodist Mustangs Trends:
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When an underdog on the road are 2-8
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

Pittsburgh Panthers Trends:
When playing in January are 1-1
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 8-2
When favored at home are 7-3

A few Mustangs at Panthers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games