Pac 12 Final: Stanford takes on ASU
Stanford hammered Arizona State 42-28 at home in a September game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. But the Sun Devils are the favorites in a rematch in the Pac-12 Championship Game at Arizona State.
Stanford led 29-0 at halftime of the first meeting. Arizona State scored three quick touchdowns to open the fourth quarter, but never seriously threatened to complete the comeback. Stanford possessed the ball for 11 minutes more than Arizona State.
The Sun Devils have won seven straight games, with their only losses coming against Stanford and Notre Dame. They are led by prolific quarterback Taylor Kelly, who has passed for 3,337 yards with 27 touchdowns.
Both of Stanford’s losses came on the road against Utah and USC. The Cardinal survived a stern test from Notre Dame last week.
Fourteen of Arizona State’s last 20 games have gone OVER the total. The OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 ASU games where they are favored. The first two Pac 12 title games also played OVER the total.
Stanford meanwhile is riding a hot 8-1 ATS streak as an underdog into this Pac 12 final.
ASU has won eight straight conference games (6-2 ATS), while Stanford is 15-2 SU in its past 17 conference games as these schools have dominated Pac-12 foes.
The Sun Devils currently sport a record of 10-2, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 7-5 ATS. The Cardinal are 10-2 and 6-6 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Sun Devils post a 9-3 over under record this season, while the Cardinal have gone 5-7 against the number.
Arizona State were sitting as 3-point favorites in Pac 12 championship game odds earlier in the week at 5Dimes. The total was 56.5 early in the week at BetOnline, which was first up with an over under line.
This game matches up the No. 5 (Sun Devils) and the No. 24 (Cardinal) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 35-31 result in favor of the Sun Devils is predicted by handicapping models.
Stanford was a 27-20 winner in their most recent outing at home against Notre Dame. They failed to cover the 16-point spread as favorites, while the total score (47) made winners of UNDER bettors. D.J. Foster went over the 100-yard mark (124) in his team's latest effort as Arizona State defeated Arizona by a score of 58-21 on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Arizona State's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 43.25 PPG, against a Cardinal defense that ranks No. 13 this week at 19 PPG. The Sun Devils aerial game is averaging 285.42 yards per game, more than the Cardinal secondary allows through the air, 254 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Cardinal feature the league's No. 11-rated road run defense, allowing 110.2 yards per game. Arizona State, meanwhile, ranks No. 39 in rushing offense at home.
A few Cardinal at Sun Devils trends to consider:
Stanford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Stanford is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games
Stanford is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Arizona State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona State's last 14 games
Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home