Trojans vs Bruins: Pac 12 Betting

In the game that will decide who wins the Pac-12's South Division 8-2 UCLA and 7-3 USC get it on Saturday afternoon at the Rose Bowl (3 pm ET, Fox).

In the early betting the Bruins, who lead the South at 5-2 in conference play, were four-point underdogs vs. the Trojans, who are 5-3 in the Pac-12.

View Southern Cal vs UCLA Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: On the opening line for this matchup, the Bruins sat as 3-point underdogs, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, was sitting near 65.5 over at Bovada earlier this week (watch for line moves and follow us on Twitter for updates).

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Bruins, currently No. 46 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Trojans, who rate No. 39 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 46-44 victory for the Bruins.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up UCLA's No. 22-ranked offense (37.7 PPG) against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 40 at 23.5 PPG. The Bruins passing attack has averaged 285.9 yards per game, more than the Trojans give up through the air (242.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Trojans feature the league's No. 46-rated road run defense, allowing 150 yards per game. UCLA, meanwhile, ranks No. 21 in rushing offense at home.

Southern Cal was a 38-17 winner in its last match at home against Arizona State. They covered the 10-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 55 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Curtis McNeal ran through the Arizona State defense for 163 yards in Southern Cal's last game, handing the Sun Devils a 38-17 setback on Saturday at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

In their last action, UCLA was a 44-36 winner on the road against Washington State. They failed to cover the 16.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (80) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Bruins grabbed a Week 11 victory over the Cougars in their last game, winning 44-36 at Martin Stadium.

Southern Cal Trojans Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

UCLA Bruins Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Trojans at Bruins trends to consider:
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal's last 5 games when playing UCLA
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games when playing on the road against UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA's last 5 games when playing Southern Cal
UCLA is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
UCLA is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games

Next up:
Southern Cal home to Notre Dame, Saturday, November 24
UCLA home to Stanford, Saturday, November 24

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