Betting line favors Warhawks over Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Odds
The visiting Mean Green hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Malone Stadium against the Warhawks.
The Warhawks sit at 6-4 (6-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Mean Green are currently 4-6 (4-6 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Louisiana-Monroe is 8-2 OU, and North Texas is 4-5 OU.
Betting Line: Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the Mean Green listed as 10-point underdogs earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line was unavaiilable earlier in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Warhawks - Mean Green odds would favor the Warhawks if the lines were set according to power ranks. Louisiana-Monroe is rated No. 42 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Mean Green sit at No. 44. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 34-23 win for the Warhawks.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Louisiana-Monroe's No. 28-ranked offense (36.1 PPG) against a Mean Green defense that ranks No. 61 at 26.7 PPG. The Warhawks passing attack has averaged 297.7 yards per game, more than the Mean Green give up through the air (248.8 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Mean Green feature the league's No. 95-rated road run defense, allowing 212.8 yards per game. Louisiana-Monroe, meanwhile, ranks No. 58 in rushing offense at home.
North Texas was a 24-14 winner in their most recent outing at home against South Alabama. They covered the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (38) made winners of UNDER bettors. Last time we saw the Jaguars, they had no answer for Brandin Byrd as the Mean Green rolled to a 24-14 victory at Apogee Stadium.
Last time out for Louisiana-Monroe, they were a 45-23 loser as they battled Arkansas State on the road. Louisiana-Monroe failed to cover in the match as a 7-point underdog, while 68 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Cody Wells's 357-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Arkansas State earned a 45-23 win over Louisiana-Monroe on Thursday at ASU Stadium.
North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few Mean Green at Warhawks trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
North Texas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Texas
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games at home
North Texas at Western Kentucky, Saturday, November 24
Louisiana-Monroe at Florida International, Saturday, November 24