Bruins home to Aggies in NCAAF betting action
New Mexico State Aggies vs UCLA Bruins Odds
No. 13 UCLA, after an impressive come-from-behind victory at Nebraska, heads home to take on a little lighter fare in New Mexico State Saturday night at the Rose Bowl (10:30 pm ET, Pac-12 Network).
In the early betting the Bruins, who trailed the 'Huskers Saturday 21-3 before reeling off 38 unanswered points, were favored by 42 points over the 0-3 Aggies, who have lost their first three games by an average of 34 points.
Betting Line: UCLA were sitting as 38-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Bruins, currently No. 38 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Aggies, who rate No. 108 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 62-2 victory for the Bruins.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits UCLA's No. 7-ranked offense, averaging 49.5 PPG, against a Aggies defense that ranks No. 125 this week at 47.3 PPG. The Bruins aerial game is averaging 298 yards per game, more than the Aggies secondary allows through the air, 245.3 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Aggies own the league's No. 96-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 359 yards per game when on the road. UCLA, on the other hand, rates No. 11 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
New Mexico State lost its last outing, a 42-21 result against Texas El Paso on September 14. New Mexico State failed to cover in that game as a 4-point underdog, while the 63 combined points took the game OVER the total. New Mexico State didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Miners as Texas El Paso blasted them 42-21 in Week 3 action.
Last time out for UCLA, they were a 41-21 winner as they battled Nebraska on the road. UCLA covered in the match as a 1-point underdog, while 62 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Jordon James ran through the Nebraska defense for 105 yards in UCLA's last game, handing the Cornhuskers a 41-21 setback on Saturday at Memorial Stadium.
New Mexico State Aggies Trends:
When playing in September are 1-9
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing outside the conference are 1-9
UCLA Bruins Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 6-4
A few Aggies at Bruins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 7 games on the road
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Mexico State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of UCLA's last 9 games
UCLA is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
UCLA is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
New Mexico State home to San Diego State, Saturday, September 28
UCLA at Utah, Thursday, October 3