In a Pac-12 championship game that wasn't supposed to be the 10-2 Stanford Cardinal, champions of the North Division, host the 9-3 UCLA Bruins, champions of the South, Friday night at Stanford Stadium (8 pm ET, Fox).
How crazy is it that neither USC nor Oregon are playing here? Well, preseason Pac 12 betting odds had Stanford at +2000 and UCLA at +3000, meaning some bettors are sitting on lottery tickets Saturday afternoon.
Early on the Cardinal, who just beat the Bruins Saturday 35-17 to clinch a spot in this game, were favored by nine points over UCLA.
The computer picks a high-scoring, closely fought game which would go OVER the total.
Stanford has won and covered four straight meetings with UCLA.
Betting Line: The Cardinal were listed as 10-point favorites at sportsbooks such as on the college football lines, but it has been bet down as of Thursday. will likely have the best UCLA line at kickoff, check it out.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 18-rated Cardinal and the No. 46-rated Bruins in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 38-37 win for the Cardinal on Friday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Stanford's No. 69-ranked offense (28.6 PPG) against a Bruins defense that ranks No. 55 at 25.8 PPG. The Cardinal passing attack has averaged 207.5 yards per game, less than the Bruins give up through the air (263.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Bruins own the league's No. 40-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 145.8 yards per game when on the road. Stanford, on the other hand, rates No. 71 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, UCLA was a 35-17 loser at home against Stanford. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Bruins suffered a Week 13 loss against Stanford in their last game, falling 35-17 at Rose Bowl.
In their last action, Stanford was a 35-17 winner on the road against UCLA. They covered the 3-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Stepfan Taylor ran through the UCLA defense for 142 yards in Stanford's last game, handing the Bruins a 35-17 setback on Saturday at Rose Bowl.
UCLA Bruins Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Stanford Cardinal Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few Bruins at Cardinal trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA's last 5 games
UCLA is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games on the road
UCLA is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Stanford's last 11 games when playing UCLA