Bulldogs Aggies Betting Preview for Week 15
|Utah State Aggies||Fresno State Bulldogs|
The Fresno State Bulldogs' bid at a BCS bowl went up in flames last week in a 62-52 loss to San Jose State.
FSU had won its first 10 games of this season, but gave up 700 yards of offense in losing to the Spartans.
But the Bulldogs can still claim a conference title for this season if they can win the Mountain West championship game Saturday at home against Utah State.
FSU dropped from No. 16 to No. 23 in the latest BCS rankings, crushing any hopes of playing in a BCS bowl.
Utah State is the champion of the MWC East, after winning its last five games, including a 35-7 decision over Wyoming Saturday. The line was -3 for FSU Friday at Bovada.
As of early this week the Bulldogs, who are only 4-7 ATS this season, were favored at Bovada by a field goal over the Aggies, who are 8-4 ATS on the season.
Backers of the Bulldogs have seen them go 10-1 and 4-7 ATS so far this season, while the Aggies are at 8-4 and 8-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Aggies are 6-6, while the Bulldogs are 6-5.
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Bulldogs as 6-point favorites in the matchup but it was bet way down. Meanwhile the betting total 60.5 (at TopBet) with more than 70 percent of the betting action on the OVER.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 18-rated Aggies taking on the No. 11-rated Bulldogs in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 46-45 win for the Aggies on Saturday.
In their last action, Utah State was a 35-7 winner at home against Wyoming. They covered the 24-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (42) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Derek Carr handled the Spartans defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 519 yards, but Fresno State still lost to San Jose State 62-52.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Fresno State's No. 4-ranked offense (47.27 PPG) against a Aggies defense that ranks No. 7 at 16.75 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 410.27 yards per game, more than the Aggies give up through the air (209.83 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Aggies feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 139.83 yards per game. Fresno State, meanwhile, ranks No. 79 in rushing offense at home.
A few Aggies at Bulldogs trends to consider:
Utah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah State's last 9 games
Utah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Fresno State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games
Fresno State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home