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LSU Opens As Chalk at Miss State

Mississippi State knows it has not defeated LSU since 1999, a stretch of 11 straight losses, as it prepares to host the Tigers in Thursday night college football wagering action.

And since 1995, the Bulldogs have only covered the spread four times (4-12 ATS) in their annual tilt against LSU. But as both SEC school sit comfortably inside the Top 25, this match takes on added significance and added betting interest.

LSU opened as just 3.5-point favorites at BetOnline, surprising since Miss State was upset by Auburn Saturday, losing as small favorites. LSU on the other hand followed up their impressive win over Oregon with a tight practice sessions against Northwestern State.

The Tigers, ranked second in the country, rolled up 400 yards in offense by halftime in their home opener Saturday against the non-board Demons, who totalled negative 4 total rushing yards. Mississippi State had been ranked No. 16 but tumbled to No. 25.

View LSU vs Mississippi State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Odds makers opened the Bulldogs as 3.5-point underdogs in the game, giving the spread room to move onto the key betting number of 3 or to move further off it. (You can get Miss State at +4 at TopBet today)

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 13 (Bulldogs) and the No. 18 (Tigers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. LSU is ranked second in the nation while Mississippi State fell to No. 25.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's #13-ranked offense (46.5 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks #28 at 15 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 267 yards per game, more than the Tigers give up through the air (169.5 YPG on average).

LSU was a 49-3 winner in their most recent outing at home against Northwestern State. They failed to cover the 48–point spread as favorites, while the total score (52) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Mississippi State was a 41-34 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Auburn. They failed to cover the 4.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (75) made winners of OVER bettors.

LSU Tigers Trends:
When playing in September are 10-0
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5

 

A few Tigers at Bulldogs trends to consider:
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
LSU is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LSU's last 7 games when playing Mississippi State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games when playing LSU
Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games
Mississippi State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

Next up:
LSU at West Virginia, Saturday, September 24
Mississippi State home to Louisiana Tech, Saturday, September 24

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