Bulldogs vs Aggies Game Preview
|Mississippi State Bulldogs||Texas A&M Aggies|
Texas A&M opened as a 19-point home favorite over Mississippi State in an SEC West battle. The Aggies have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 games as double-digit favorites, according to the OddsShark college football database.
Johnny Manziel is a Heisman contender again for the Aggies, who are averaging 49 points per game and have bounced back from an upset loss to Auburn with two straight wins.
Mississippi State is coming off a loss at South Carolina. The Bulldogs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine as double-digit underdogs and are 3-7 ATS in its last 10 SEC games.
Backers of the Aggies have seen them go 7-2 and 5-4 ATS so far this season, while the Bulldogs are at 4-4 and 3-5 ATS. In totals betting, the Bulldogs are 3-5, while the Aggies are 7-2.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 4-rated Aggies and the No. 71-ranked Bulldogs, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 48-34 result in favor of the Aggies.
Mississippi State was a 34-16 loser in their most recent outing on the road against South Carolina. They failed to cover the 12.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (50) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Bulldogs suffered a Week 10 loss against South Carolina in their last game, falling 34-16 at Williams-Brice Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas A&M's No. 4-ranked offense (49 PPG) against a Bulldogs defense that ranks No. 48 at 24.25 PPG. The Aggies passing attack has averaged 371.78 yards per game, more than the Bulldogs give up through the air (204.38 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bulldogs feature the league's No. 78-rated road run defense, allowing 188.67 yards per game. Texas A&M, meanwhile, ranks No. 50 in rushing offense at home.
A few Bulldogs at Aggies trends to consider:
Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Texas A&M is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games
Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Mississippi State at Alabama, Saturday, November 16th
Texas A&M at LSU, Saturday, November 23rd