Bulldogs vs Tigers Preview
|LSU Tigers||Mississippi State Bulldogs|
After losing a very tough game at Georgia No. 10 LSU will try to bounce back when it tackles 2-2 Mississippi State Saturday night in Starkville (7 pm ET, ESPN).
In the early wagering the Tigers, who have won the last 13 in a row in this series, were favored by 9.5 points over the Bulldogs, who just put up 62 points in beating Troy.
The Tigers will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 2-2-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Bulldogs are 3-1 ATS. LSU is 5-0 against the total, while Mississippi State is 2-2 versus the number.
Several shops tracked by OddsShark (including Bovada) set the point spread at 9.5 in favor of the home side. NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).
It's a betting matchup between the No. 65-rated Bulldogs and the No. 21-ranked Tigers, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 35-34 upset result in favor of the Bulldogs.
LSU was a 44-41 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Georgia. They earned a push of the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (85) made winners of OVER bettors. Zach Mettenberger's 372-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Georgia earned a 44-41 win over LSU on Saturday at Sanford Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's No. 47-ranked offense (34 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 61 at 24.4 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 257.5 yards per game, more than the Tigers give up through the air (198.6 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Tigers feature the league's No. 82-rated road run defense, allowing 203 yards per game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.
A few Tigers at Bulldogs trends to consider:
LSU is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
LSU is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against LSU
Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LSU
Mississippi State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Mississippi State is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
LSU at Florida, Saturday, October 12th
Mississippi State at Bowling Green, Saturday, October 12th