Bulls open as underdog vs Huskies
Buffalo Bulls vs Connecticut Huskies Odds
Connecticut looks to cover the Huskies-Bulls point spread this week and improve its overall 2-2 mark when they host Buffalo in Week 5 action.
The Huskies are 2-2 so far on the season, and 1-1-2 ATS vs. the number. The Bulls, meanwhile, are 1-2 and 1-2 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Connecticut go 2-2 and the Bulls go 1-1 on the totals.
Betting Line: The home team opened as 16-point favorites in this NCAA football battle. No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to posted shortly.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Huskies, currently No. 72 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Bulls, who rate No. 102 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 33-20 victory for the Huskies.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Connecticut's No. 94-ranked offense (23 PPG) against a Bulls defense that ranks No. 102 at 34 PPG. The Huskies passing attack has averaged 208 yards per game, more than the Bulls give up through the air (196 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Bulls own the league's No. 87-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 227 yards per game when on the road. Connecticut, on the other hand, rates No. 114 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Buffalo was a 23-7 loser in their most recent outing at home against Kent State. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (30) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Bulls suffered a Week 4 loss against Kent State in their last game, falling 23-7 at UB Stadium.
Connecticut was a 30-24 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Western Michigan. They failed to cover the 1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (54) made winners of OVER bettors. Chandler Whitmer's 333-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Western Michigan earned a 30-24 win over Connecticut on Saturday at Waldo Stadium.
Buffalo Bulls Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 3-7
Connecticut Huskies Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 4-6
A few Bulls at Huskies trends to consider:
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Buffalo is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 9 games
Connecticut is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
Buffalo at Ohio, Saturday, October 6
Connecticut at Rutgers, Saturday, October 6