In a game that could decide who wins the Pac-12 North Division 10-0 Oregon takes on 8-2 Stanford Saturday night in Eugene (8 pm ET, ABC).
And if this game plays out like most of the recent Oregon-Stanford games, it will be won by the Ducks, whose bettors will turn a profit. The Ducks are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the past 10 meetings of these Pac 12 foes.
In the early betting the high-flyin' Ducks, now No. 2 in the BCS standings, were favored by 21 points over the Cardinal, who can win the North by winning their last two games.
View Stanford vs Oregon Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: The home team opened as 21.5-point favorites in this NCAA football battle at Sportsbook. The over under line was 65.5 as of Friday over at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 24-rated Ducks and the No. 33-ranked Cardinal, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 63-43 result in favor of the Ducks.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon's No. 1-ranked offense (54.8 PPG) against a Cardinal defense that ranks No. 12 at 17.2 PPG. The Ducks passing attack has averaged 237.5 yards per game, less than the Cardinal give up through the air (261.9 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Cardinal feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 67 yards per game. Oregon, meanwhile, ranks No. 5 in rushing offense at home.
Stanford won its last outing, a 27-23 result against Oregon State on November 10. Stanford covered in that game as a 3.5-point favorite, while the 50 combined points took the game OVER the total. Stepfan Taylor ran through the Oregon State defense for 114 yards in Stanford's last game, handing the Beavers a 27-23 setback on Saturday at Stanford Stadium.
Oregon won its last outing, a 59-17 result against California on November 10. Oregon covered in that game as a 31.5-point favorite, while the 76 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, Oregon's aerial attack generated 377 yards and the Ducks came away with a 59-17 victory over California at California Memorial Stadium.
Stanford Cardinal Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2
Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few Cardinal at Ducks trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 5 games when playing Oregon
Stanford is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing Stanford
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford
Next up:
Stanford at UCLA, Saturday, November 24
Oregon at Oregon State, Saturday, November 24
