Cardinals face Bulls in Week 9 odds
|Louisville Cardinals||South Florida Bulls|
Coming off a deflating upset loss at home to Central Florida that will probably dash any hopes of crashing the BCS party 6-1 Louisville looks to pick up the pieces when it visits 2-4 South Florida for Homecoming in Tampa Saturday afternoon (noon ET, ESPN).
The Cardinals were working on a big-time bowl bid with their 6-0 start, but blew a 28-7 third-quarter lead and lost at home to UCF last Friday. The 'Ville has also lost three games in a row ATS.
The Bulls, meanwhile, after an 0-4 start, have won two in a row, most recently beating Connecticut 13-10 two weeks ago.
In the early betting the Cardinals, who have won the last two games in this series, although both were close contests, were favored by 20 points over South Florida.
Supporters of the Cardinals have seen them go 6-1 and 3-4 ATS so far this season, while the Bulls are at 2-4 and 3-3 ATS. In totals betting, the Bulls are 2-4, while the Cardinals are 2-5.
Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the Cardinals listed as -21-point favorites earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line was pending at BetOnline (where bettors find the continuing special of 50% bonus up to $1,000).
It's a betting matchup between the No. 107-rated Bulls and the No. 8-ranked Cardinals, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 49-10 result in favor of the Cardinals.
Louisville was a 38-35 loser in their most recent outing at home against Central Florida. They failed to cover the 14-point spread as favorites, while the total score (73) made winners of OVER bettors. The Bulls grabbed a Week 7 victory over the Huskies in their last game, winning 13-10 at Rentschler Field.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits South Florida's No. 119-ranked offense, averaging 16.17 PPG, against a Cardinals defense that ranks No. 2 this week at 11.71 PPG. The Bulls aerial game is averaging 138.17 yards per game, less than the Cardinals secondary allows through the air, 173.86 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Cardinals own the league's No. 16-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 105 yards per game when on the road. South Florida, on the other hand, rates No. 101 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Cardinals at Bulls trends to consider:
Louisville is 7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games
Louisville is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Louisville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville's last 9 games when playing South Florida
South Florida is 3-12-1 SU in its last 16 games
South Florida is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
South Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games at home
Louisville at Connecticut, Friday, November 8th
South Florida at Houston, Thursday, October 31st