Ball State vs Toledo betting preview
The Toledo Rockets look to stay perfect in MAC play when they host the Cardinals of Ball State Tuesday night (8 pm ET, ESPN2).
Toledo, which has won eight games in a row after losing its season opener, was an early six-point favorite over BSU, which has won three in a row itself.
The road team is 5-2 SU the past seven times these MAC rivals have clashed.The total has gone OVER in 11 of Ball State's last 14 games, an interesting stat for over under bettors.
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 81-rated Rockets and the No. 69-ranked Cardinals, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 40-32 result in favor of the Rockets.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Toledo's No. 34-ranked offense, averaging 34.3 PPG, against a Cardinals defense that ranks No. 101 this week at 33.3 PPG. The Rockets aerial game is averaging 255.1 yards per game, less than the Cardinals secondary allows through the air, 262.4 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Cardinals feature the league's No. 73-rated road run defense, allowing 180.6 yards per game. Toledo, meanwhile, ranks No. 75 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Ball State, they were a 30-22 winner as they battled Army on the road. Ball State covered in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 52 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Last time we saw the Black Knights, they had no answer for Jahwan Edwards as the Cardinals rolled to a 30-22 victory at Michie Stadium.
Toledo won its last outing, a 25-20 result against Buffalo on October 27. Toledo failed to cover in that game as a 7.5-point favorite, while the 45 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Buffalo was unable to contain David Fluellen in its last action Saturday and the result was a 25-20 Week 9 loss against the Rockets.
Ball State Cardinals Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Toledo Rockets Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few Cardinals at Rockets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Ball State's last 14 games
Ball State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Ball State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toledo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ball State
Toledo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ball State
Ball State home to Ohio, Wednesday, November 14
Toledo at Northern Illinois, Wednesday, November 14