Louisville vs UCF Betting Odds
Louisville is 6-0 and No. 6 in this week's coaches' poll, but has looked a bit lackluster the last couple of weeks, winning but failing to cover the spread.
After beating Rutgers at home last Thursday the Cardinals get another week-night home game this week, hosting Central Florida for a key American Athletic Conference bout Friday night (8 pm ET, ESPN).
The 'Ville has only allowed a total of 44 points this season, but is only 3-3 ATS because it's been favored by some big numbers. UCF, meanwhile, is 4-1 both SU and ATS, with its only loss coming by a field goal against South Carolina.
As of early this week the Cardinals were favored by 11 points over the Knights for the first meeting between these two teams since 1985.
Backers of the Cardinals have seen them go 6-0 and 3-3 ATS so far this season, while the Knights are at 4-1 and 4-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Knights are 1-4, while the Cardinals are 1-5.
Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Cardinals pegged as 17.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, opened at 53 according to BetOnline which was the only book with the guts to post a total on this game as of Monday.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Cardinals rated this week at No. 8 and the Knights sitting at No. 22. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 44-26 result in favor of the Cardinals this week.
Central Florida won its last outing, a 24-17 result against Memphis on October 5. Central Florida failed to cover in that game as a 9-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Last time out, Memphis could not slow down Breshad Perriman, who managed 107 receiving yards in the Knights 24-17 victory over the Tigers Saturday. Teddy Bridgewater throttled the Scarlet Knights defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 310 yards as Louisville handed Rutgers a 24-10 defeat.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Louisville's No. 16-ranked offense, averaging 41 PPG, against a Knights defense that ranks No. 11 this week at 16.6 PPG. The Cardinals aerial game is averaging 329.17 yards per game, more than the Knights secondary allows through the air, 212.8 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Knights feature the league's No. 26-rated road run defense, allowing 114 yards per game. Louisville, meanwhile, ranks No. 83 in rushing offense at home.
A few Knights at Cardinals trends to consider:
Central Florida is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Central Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games
Central Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Louisville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games
Louisville is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games at home
Central Florida at Connecticut, Saturday, October 26th
Louisville at South Florida, Saturday, October 26th