Clemson favored by -13 against Maryland on Saturday
|Clemson Tigers||Maryland Terrapins|
Two ACC teams licking their wounds after rough outings last week collide at Maryland on Saturday. Clemson is looking to bounce back from a blowout loss to Florida State.
Maryland lost its two top playmakers—receivers Stefon Diggs and Deon Long--to injuries in its loss to Wake Forest last week.
Clemson opened as a 13-point favorite over the Terrapins, who have covered the spread in three of their last four games as home underdogs. They failed to cover, however, as a home dog in a 27-26 win over Virginia on Oct. 12.
The Tigers were embarrassed at home in 51-14 beat-down by Florida State. It’s the kind of loss that can derail a season.
Clemson won last year’s meeting against Maryland, 45-10. The Tigers have won three straight versus the Terrapins, straight-up and against the spread.
They will face the 6-1 Tigers, who own a 3-4 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Terrapins are 4-3 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Tigers are 4-3 favoring the OVER.
Several shops tracked by OddsShark (including Bovada) set the point spread at 13 in favor of the home side. NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).
The Terrapins sit at No. 98 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Tigers are at No. 7 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Tigers will win this game 40-30.
Clemson was a 51-14 loser in their most recent outing at home against Florida State. They failed to cover the 4.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (65) made winners of OVER bettors. Maryland was hammered in its last outing, as Wake Forest ran up a 34-10 score against them at BB&T Field.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Maryland's No. 79-ranked offense (28 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 26 at 21.14 PPG. The Terrapins passing attack has averaged 280.57 yards per game, more than the Tigers give up through the air (223.29 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Tigers own the league's No. 110-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 244 yards per game when on the road. Maryland, on the other hand, rates No. 48 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Tigers at Terrapins trends to consider:
Clemson is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games
Clemson is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 7-16-1 SU in its last 24 games
Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Maryland is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Maryland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson at Virginia, Saturday, November 2nd
Maryland at Syracuse, Saturday, November 9th