Trends must be taken with a grain of sports betting salt, but they can prove useful for handicappers looking for support for their theory - or to encourage them to steer clear of it.
So if Florida State went 0-5 against the spread on the road last season, do we worry about them at Pitt? The Seminoles have failed to cover in their last six games as road favorites.
They are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games as double-digit favorites.
Jimbo Fisher’s team is all of the above in Monday’s primetime showdown at Pittsburgh. No. 11 Florida State is a 10.5-point favorite over the Panthers, who went 3-1 against the spread as a home underdog last season.
Pittsburgh joins Florida State in the ACC this season. The Panthers are picked to finish last in the Coastal Division, behind even Duke.
Despite losing its starting quarterback in the offseason, Notre Dame is more than a four-touchdown favorite over Temple on Saturday. The Fighting Irish have not fared well as giant chalk, going 2-9 against the spread in games in which they’re favored by 25 points or more.
Everett Golson, who led Notre Dame to the national championship game last season, was ruled ineligible in the offseason. Senior Tommy Rees will start at quarterback in Golson’s place for the Irish.
New Temple coach Matt Rhule inherits a program that has been strong in the underdog role. The Owls are 43-31-2 as underdogs in the last 10 seasons.
Nebraska is a 29-point home favorite over Wyoming on Saturday. The Cornhuskers have covered the spread in their last six games when favored by 20 or more points.
Nebraska went 6-1 against the spread at home last season.
Wyoming is 15-4 against the spread as a road underdog under coach Dave Christensen.
Two conflicting trends highlight the Georgia-Clemson game. The visiting Bulldogs, who are favored by 1½ points over the Tigers, have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games as road favorites. But Clemson is on an impressive run as an underdog. The Tigers have covered in 21 of their last 30 games when getting points.
Other notable Week 1 trends:
--North Carolina is 1-8 straight-up and 3-6 against the spread in its last nine games as an underdog.
--Ole Miss is 2-10 against the spread in its last 10 games against Vanderbilt.
--Penn State enters the season on a 9-1-1 streak against the spread.