College Football Over Under Betting Offers Best NCAA Odds Value
Moneylines and spreads for college football Saturday are usually released by most online sportsbooks a full week in advance.
Totals, on the other hand, are released midweek instead. One of the reasons for this is that they are tougher for sportsbooks to calculate, and in turn more beatable to the sharp college football bettor.
Respecting Fast Offenses
Explosive, fast offenses are an UNDER bettor's worst nightmare. Teams like the Oregon Ducks, Baylor Bears, and TCU Horned Frogs run up-tempo offenses that run plays fast and score faster. Totals can't seem to be set high enough in games featuring teams like this as scores still sail OVER the posted total.
Fast offenses make for good OVER bets for a variety of reasons. Not only does their tempo give them more chances to score, but it also gives their defenses less time to rest, which can lead to more points against.
Even when starters are pulled later in the game in blowouts, the backups can continue to run up the score as their coaches will want them to get experience running the offense at the same speed.
Look for new teams around the nation that are installing these up-tempo offenses and putting up big numbers early in the year. Bettors that can find these sorts of teams before the betting public catches on can usually get a lot of value on OVER bets.
Don't Blindly Bet On Overs
Yes, the rapidly evolving fast-paced offensive game in college football is leading to higher-scoring games. But it is also leading to higher totals being set across the board.
While some teams are worth paying the premium on to bet on the OVER, there is often value to be found going the other way on the UNDER instead.
For example, a team that runs a standard pro-style offense that is putting up a ton of points against weak out of conference foes might get a ton of hype and see huge totals set when conference play begins.
But against teams that aren't totally mismatched on defense and getting beat on every play, these offenses won't be nearly as productive, and the UNDER bettors will come out on top.
Focus not only on how many points a team scores but also how it scores those points.
Most offensive schemes do very well against some defenses and poorly against others, and college football bettors willing to take the time to research these offense vs. defense matchups can crush OVER/UNDER betting at their sportsbook of choice.