College football Week 1 betting trends
The number of opening-week mismatches in college football soared last season.
Since 2007, there have been 49 Week 1 games with pointspreads of 28 or greater. Twenty-six of those games were played last season. There are only eight games that qualify this week.
But bettors looking for glaring trends when it comes to dealing with mammoth favorites in Week 1 are out of luck. Data from the OddsShark.com database indicates little advantage when it comes to backing or fading big favorites in Week 1 of college football.
Since 2007, favorites laying 28 points or more are just 14-12 ATS in those games. No one is making any money off that trend. Bigger favorites of 39 points of greater did go 6-2 ATS last season, so taking a look at USC -40.5 vs. Hawaii or LSU -43 vs. North Texas or Georgia -39 vs. Buffalo could prove profitable.
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Overall, there are no overwhelming trends involving big favorites in Week 1, which, of course, means bettors should continue to handicap each game individually.
The UNDER also might be worth a look in these game with giant spreads. Since 2007, games with spreads of 28 or greater have stayed under the total 55.8 percent (19/24 over/under). The thinking behind that trend is that teams get up big and then begin to run the football to run out the clock.