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College football's best home bets

Oddsmakers do a good job of evaluating how much home-field advantage to figure into college football pointspreads.

If anything, they might overvalue home field slightly in an effort to sucker bettors into laying an extra point or two to take the home team.

According to the OddsShark.com database, home teams went 1,994-2,041-65 (49.41%) against the spread over the last six seasons. Home underdogs were 704-715-26 (49.61%) ATS, with home favorites going 1290-1326-39 (49.31%) against the number during that time period.

Still, as always, there a few teams that consistently exceed the betting market’s expectations when playing in front of their home crowd - and it’s not always the vaunted venues like Michigan’s Big House or LSU’s Death Valley.

Top 5 Undervalued Home-Field Advantages

(ATS home records from 2006-2011)

TCU: 22-11 ATS (66.66%)

The Horned Frogs have gotten fat against Mountain West competition, especially in Fort Worth, where they’ve lost only twice in four seasons. Will that home-field advantage be as potent in the Big 12? TCU gets Iowa State, Texas Tech, Kansas State, and Oklahoma at home in its first season in a BCS league.

Oklahoma: 23-12 (65.71%)

The Sooners have been a home underdog only twice in coach Bob Stoops’ illustrious career in Norman and are a remarkable 77-3 straight-up at Memorial Stadium since 1999.

California: 23-13 ATS (63.88%)

Quietly, the Golden Bears are 35-24 ATS at home in coach Jeff Tedford’s 10-year tenure. Tedford has been especially deadly when his team has a talent advantage. The Bears are 21-9 since 2006 as a home favorite.

Nevada: 21-12 (63.63%)

Coach Chris Ault doesn’t mind piling on when he’s got the better team. The Wolf Pack are 18-8-1 ATS as home chalk since 2006.

Rice: 20-12 ATS (62.50%)

Just ask Purdue how dangerous the Owls are at Rice Stadium. The Boilermakers lost 24-22 at Rice last season.

Home-field disadvantages

Lowly UNLV has covered in 17 of its last 25 games as a home underdog.

Fresno State is an atrocious 1-19-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2006.

Northwestern has covered the spread just three times in its last 17 games as home chalk.

Best NCAA Football Home Teams Against the Spread

Ohio State

25

16

0

UCLA

24

14

0

Oklahoma

23

12

1

California

23

13

0

East Carolina

22

14

0

TCU

22

11

0

Houston

22

10

1

Arkansas

22

14

0

Wisconsin

22

15

0

Temple

21

11

1

Oklahoma St

21

15

0

UCF

21

14

1

Nevada

21

12

1

Stanford

21

16

0

Connecticut

21

13

0

South Carolina

21

15

1

Tennessee

21

19

3

Wake Forest

21

15

0

Kansas

21

15

0

Texas A&M

21

18

2

Auburn

21

21

0

Hawaii

20

17

0

Oregon

20

15

3

Boston College

20

16

0

Rice

20

12

1

Arizona State

20

15

1

Clemson

20

17

0

N.C. State

20

15

1

Florida

20

17

1

UNLV

20

15

0

Utah

19

13

2

BYU

19

16

0

Southern Cal

19

18

0

Kentucky

19

19

0

Toledo

19

16

0

Indiana

19

15

1

Arizona

19

16

0

Boise State

18

17

0

Oregon State

18

16

0

Alabama

18

22

1

Louisiana Tech

18

10

0

Minnesota

18

17

1

Kansas State

18

16

1

Iowa State

18

17

0

Texas

18

21

1

Nebraska

18

23

0

North Carolina

18

16

0

Washington

18

22

0

Iowa

18

18

1

Mississippi

18

17

1

Michigan

18

23

1

Virginia Tech

17

19

0

Cincinnati

17

14

1

Pittsburgh

17

20

0

Georgia Tech

17

15

2

Michigan State

17

23

1

Tulsa

17

16

0

Vanderbilt

17

20

0

Missouri

17

18

0

New Mexico

17

18

0

San Jose State

17

12

0

Washington State

17

17

0

LSU

17

23

1

Marshall

17

13

0

Colorado

17

16

1

Ohio

16

13

0

Southern Miss

16

16

0

Central Michigan

16

10

0

Mississippi State

16

18

0

Rutgers

16

18

1

Purdue

16

21

1

Syracuse

16

20

0

Texas Tech

16

15

1

Baylor

16

17

1

San Diego State

16

15

1

Colorado State

16

16

0

Penn State

16

22

1

Louisville

15

20

0

Air Force

15

18

0

West Virginia

15

21

1

Texas El Paso

15

19

0

Virginia

15

20

1

Georgia

15

18

1

Troy

14

14

0

Utah State

14

17

0

Middle Tennessee

14

16

0

Duke

14

19

1

Northern Illinois

14

14

1

Arkansas State

14

16

0

Illinois

14

21

0

SMU

14

19

0

South Florida

14

18

0

Wyoming

14

18

2

Notre Dame

14

24

2

Maryland

14

21

0

Miami (Ohio)

13

19

0

Florida International

13

18

0

UAB

13

15

2

New Mexico State

13

18

1

Miami

13

22

0

North Texas

13

19

0

Florida State

13

23

1

Ball State

12

16

0

Louisiana-Monroe

12

11

1

Buffalo

12

19

1

Idaho

12

19

0

Florida Atlantic

12

15

0

Western Michigan

12

15

2

Memphis

12

22

1

Akron

12

17

1

Bowling Green

11

19

0

Louisiana-Lafayette

11

19

0

Tulane

11

23

0

Kent State

11

17

2

Navy

10

19

2

Northwestern

10

23

0

Army

10

18

0

Eastern Michigan

9

17

1

W. Kentucky

9

11

0

Fresno State

7

24

1

South Alabama

0

0

0

Massachusetts

0

0

0

Texas St

0

0

0