Compass Bowl betting preview

Pittsburgh PanthersMississippi Rebels
Jan 5, 1:00 PM | Turf of Legion Field

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Mississippi Rebels Odds


In a bowl game that typifies the degradation of the bowl season 6-6 Pitt meets 6-6 Mississippi in the BBVA Compass Bowl Saturday, Jan. 5 in Birmingham (1 pm ET, ESPN).

The early Compass Bowl odds showed Ole Miss, which went 3-5 in the SEC this season, as a field-goal favorite over the Panthers, who went 3-4 in the Big East and now find their coach on the short list for another head job elsewhere.

All 6 Compass Bowls have played UNDER total so far, while Big East schools are 5-1 SU in those Compass Bowls. Ole Miss is 7-1 SU in their past 8 bowl games overall.

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View Pittsburgh vs Mississippi Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Panthers were listed as 2-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.


Ole Miss Bowl History

Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1997 Motor City Bowl Mississippi 34 Marshall 31 1 MISS
1998 Independence Bowl Mississippi 35 Texas Tech 18 -8.5 MISS
1999 Independence Bowl Mississippi 27 Oklahoma 25 -4 MISS
2000 Music City Bowl Mississippi 38 West Virginia 49 4 WESTV
2002 Independence Bowl Nebraska 23 Mississippi 27 7 MISS
2003 Cotton Bowl Mississippi 31 Oklahoma State 28 3 Push
2008 Cotton Bowl Mississippi 47 Texas Tech 34 -4 MISS
2009 Cotton Bowl Mississippi 21 Oklahoma State 7 3.5 MISS

Pitt Bowl History

Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1997 Liberty Bowl Pittsburgh 7 Southern Miss 41 -10 S.MISS
2000 Insight Bowl Pittsburgh 29 Iowa State 37 -3 IOWAST
2001 Tangerine Bowl North Carolina State 19 Pittsburgh 34 -1 PITT
2002 Insight Bowl Pittsburgh 38 Oregon State 13 -1.5 PITT
2003 Continental Bowl Pittsburgh 16 Virginia 23 -3 VIRGNA
2004 Fiesta Bowl Pittsburgh 7 Utah 35 -16 UTAH
2008 Sun Bowl Pittsburgh 0 Oregon State 3 -1.5 OREGST
2009 Meineke Car Care Bowl North Carolina 17 Pittsburgh 19 0 PITT
2010 Compass Bowl Kentucky 10 Pittsburgh 27 -4 PITT
2011 Compass Bowl Southern Methodist 28 Pittsburgh 6 -4 SMU

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi's No. 50-ranked offense (30.9 PPG) against a Panthers defense that ranks No. 21 at 19.7 PPG. The Rebels passing attack has averaged 257.2 yards per game, more than the Panthers give up through the air (196.8 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Panthers own the league's No. 47-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 153.2 yards per game when on the road. Mississippi, on the other hand, rates No. 42 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Last time out for Pittsburgh, they were a 27-3 winner as they battled South Florida on the road. Pittsburgh covered in the match as a 7.5-point favorite, while 30 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Mike Shanahan hauled in 9 passes for 116 yards against the South Florida defense in the team's last game, leading Pittsburgh over the Bulls 27-3 on Saturday.

Mississippi was a 41-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against Mississippi State. They covered the 1-point spread as favorites, while the total score (65) made winners of OVER bettors. Jeff Scott tore up the turf for 111 rushing yards in the latest Rebels game, a 41-24 win over the Bulldogs at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

Pittsburgh Panthers Trends:
When playing in January are 1-2
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

Mississippi Rebels Trends:
When playing in January are 3-0
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When favored at home are 8-2

A few Panthers at Rebels trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games
Mississippi is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games