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BYU vs Utah State Prediction

Beehive State rivals meet as the BYU Cougars play host to the Utah State Aggies Friday night in Provo (10:15 pm ET, ESPN).

Brigham Young, coming off a 47-0 demolition of Hawaii, is 3-2, its two losses coming by a combined four points.

 

USU, meanwhile, is 4-1 and could easily be 5-0 if not for a missed field goal at the buzzer against Wisconsin. BYU sat as 7-point chalk as of Thursday at 5Dimes while the total was sitting near 46.

View Utah State vs BYU Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Cougars - Aggies odds would favor the Cougars if the lines were set according to power ranks. BYU is rated No. 18 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Aggies sit at No. 34. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 40-35 win for the Cougars.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits BYU's No. 56-ranked offense, averaging 29.8 PPG, against a Aggies defense that ranks No. 18 this week at 14.2 PPG. The Cougars aerial game is averaging 204.2 yards per game, more than the Aggies secondary allows through the air, 174.4 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Aggies feature the league's No. 43-rated road run defense, allowing 131.5 yards per game. BYU, meanwhile, ranks No. 24 in rushing offense at home.

Utah State was a 35-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against UNLV. They covered the 20.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (48) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, Utah State's aerial attack generated 402 yards and the Aggies came away with a 35-13 victory over UNLV at Romney Stadium.

BYU was a 47-0 winner in their most recent outing at home against Hawaii. They covered the 25.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (47) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, BYU got a 155-yard performance from Jamaal Williams as a key part of its 47-0 win over Hawaii.

Utah State Aggies Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

BYU Cougars Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

A few Aggies at Cougars trends to consider:
Utah State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Utah State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing BYU
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State
BYU is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah State
BYU is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games

Next up:
Utah State at San Jose State, Saturday, October 13
BYU home to Oregon State, Saturday, October 13