Baylor vs Oklahoma State Odds & Pick
Undefeated Baylor heads to Oklahoma State as a big favorite in the biggest game of the weekend. The point spread was too big for some bettors.
The Bears opened as 13-point favorites Sunday, but the line had shrunk down to Baylor -9.5 by Monday. Baylor is 8-1 against the spread this season and has covered the number in 14 of their last 15 overall. The Bears shredded Texas Tech last week and is very much in the BCS title picture.
Oklahoma State is coming off an impressive win at Texas and has won 14 of 16 against the Bears dating back to 1997. But Baylor won last season’s meeting, 41-31, in Waco, Texas.
Overall, the Bears have lost eight in a row at Oklahoma State and bring a 1-7 ATS streak to this matchup.
Oklahoma State brings a 9-1 record (7-3 ATS) to the Week 13 battle against the 9-0 Bears, who are 8-1 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Oklahoma State go 4-6 so far and the Bears go 7-2.
The Bears were listed as 13-point favorites on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark, but bet down quicly to single digits by Monday. No total was available early in the week.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 2-rated Bears taking on the No. 14-rated Cowboys in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 52-36 win for the Bears on Saturday.
Baylor was a 63-34 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas Tech. They covered the 28-point spread as favorites, while the total score (97) made winners of OVER bettors.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oklahoma State's No. 13-ranked offense, averaging 40.4 PPG, against a Bears defense that ranks No. 7 this week at 17.44 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 258.2 yards per game, more than the Bears secondary allows through the air, 190.11 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Bears own the league's No. 107-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 240.5 yards per game when on the road. Oklahoma State, on the other hand, rates No. 94 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Bears at Cowboys trends to consider:
Baylor is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 9 games
Baylor is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baylor at TCU, Saturday, November 30th
Oklahoma State home to Oklahoma, Saturday, December 7th