Sooners large underdogs to Cowboys
Oklahoma heads to Oklahoma State as the biggest underdog the Sooners have been against their in-state rivals since at least 1997.
The Cowboys, who can lock up the Big 12 title with a win, opened as 10.5-point favorites over the Sooners. It’s only the fourth time Oklahoma State has been favored in the last 30 Bedlam rivalry games. But Mike Gundy’s squad has clearly been the better team this season.
The Cowboys have won seven straight games, covering the spread in six of those games. They knocked off Baylor, 49-17, two weeks ago to creep back into the BCS title race. They’ll need a lot of help to sneak into the National Championship Game, but Oklahoma State has a lot more to play for than the Sooners.
Oklahoma also had Thanksgiving week off and is coming off a win at Kansas State. The Sooners beat Oklahoma State, 51-48, in overtime last season and have won nine of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma State.
The Sooners were double-digit dogs in early wagering at BetOnline. The Cowboys have covered five straight games as favorites and six straight conference games.
The Cowboys are 10-1 so far on the season, and 8-3 ATS vs. the number. The Sooners, meanwhile, are 9-2 and 6-5 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Oklahoma State go 4-7 and the Sooners go 6-5 on the totals.
Sportsbooks such as BetOnline had set the Cowboys as 10.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. Watch for the total as well which was hovering around 56.5 at GTbets.eu (where you can get better odds on the Sooners or Cowboys if they are your favorite team!)
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Cowboys rated this week at No. 8 and the Sooners sitting at No. 39. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 37-26 result in favor of the Cowboys this week.
Oklahoma was a 41-31 winner in its last match on the road against Kansas State. They covered the 5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 72 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Brennan Clay went over the 100-yard mark (200) in his team's latest effort as Oklahoma defeated Kansas State by a score of 41-31 on Saturday. Clint Chelf led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 370 yards Saturday as the Cowboys downed the Bears 49-17 at Boone Pickens Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oklahoma State's No. 10-ranked offense (41.18 PPG) against a Sooners defense that ranks No. 21 at 21.09 PPG. The Cowboys passing attack has averaged 274.73 yards per game, more than the Sooners give up through the air (197.82 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Sooners own the league's No. 76-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 187.8 yards per game when on the road. Oklahoma State, on the other hand, rates No. 93 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Sooners at Cowboys trends to consider:
Oklahoma is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games
Oklahoma is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 9 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home