The Oklahoma State Cowboys now control their own destiny in their quest for a BCS National Championship berth, and they’ll have to dodge a trap game this week on the road against the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
Oklahoma State is 7-2 ATS this season after narrowly escaping Kansas State last week and failing to cover as a 21-point favorite.
Oklahoma State is 1-7 SU in their last eight games in Lubbock. Brandon Weeden passed for 502 yards and four touchdowns in the 52-45 win over Kansas State.
The Red Raiders sit at 5-4 (5-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Cowboys are currently 9-0 (7-2 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Texas Tech is 7-2 OU, and Oklahoma State is 6-2-1 OU.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks had the Red Raiders pegged as 19.5-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was a huge 79 at which was offering the best UNDER value.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Red Raiders at No. 65 and the Cowboys at No. 38 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 59-40 result in favor of the Cowboys.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas Tech's No. 19-ranked offense (36.8 PPG) against a Cowboys defense that ranks No. 77 at 28.6 PPG. The Red Raiders passing attack has averaged 362 yards per game, more than the Cowboys give up through the air (265.8 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Cowboys feature the league's No. 112-rated road run defense, allowing 251.5 yards per game. Texas Tech, meanwhile, ranks No. 82 in rushing offense at home.
Oklahoma State was a 52-45 winner in its last match at home against Kansas State. They failed to cover the 21–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 97 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Texas Tech was a 52-20 loser in its last match on the road against Texas. They failed to cover the 14–point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 72 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1
Texas Tech Red Raiders Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few Cowboys at Red Raiders trends to consider:
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas Tech's last 8 games
Texas Tech is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State at Iowa State, Friday, November 18
Texas Tech at Missouri, Saturday, November 19