Crimson Tide vs Aggies: SEC betting
The Alabama Crimson Tide, coming off a come-from-behind victory at LSU, heads home to host the Aggies of Texas A&M Saturday afternoon (3:30 pm ET, CBS).
In the early betting the Tide, still the No. 1 team in the BCS standings, was favored by 13 points over 7-2 A&M.
Betting Line: Bettors looking to side with the Crimson Tide in this one found them as 15.5-point favorites at Bovada but the number had been bet down a few points. The over under number was 57.5 as of Friday at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Crimson Tide, currently No. 1 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Aggies, who rate No. 11 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 58-52 victory for the Crimson Tide.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Alabama's No. 17-ranked offense (38.4 PPG) against a Aggies defense that ranks No. 27 at 21 PPG. The Crimson Tide passing attack has averaged 215.7 yards per game, less than the Aggies give up through the air (245 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Aggies own the league's No. 27-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 130.4 yards per game when on the road. Alabama, on the other hand, rates No. 49 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Last time out for Texas A&M, they were a 38-13 winner as they battled Mississippi State on the road. Texas A&M covered in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 51 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Johnny Manziel throttled the Bulldogs defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 311 yards as Texas A&M handed Mississippi State a 38-13 defeat.
Last time out for Alabama, they were a 21-17 winner as they battled LSU on the road. Alabama failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point favorite, while 38 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Crimson Tide grabbed a Week 10 victory over the Tigers in their last game, winning 21-17 at Tiger Stadium.
Texas A&M Aggies Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Alabama Crimson Tide Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few Aggies at Crimson Tide trends to consider:
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Alabama's last 19 games at home
Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Texas A&M home to Sam Houston State, Saturday, November 17
Alabama home to Western Carolina, Saturday, November 17